In: Economics
Two mutually exclusive alternatives of A and B have both useful lives of 6 years. For Alternative A there is an initial cost of $7,200, and the annual benefits, which is $2,100 for the first year and it increases by $120 each year for the next 5 years. For Alternative B, there is an initial cost of $3000 and the annual benefits, which is $1200 for the first year, and it increases by $100 each year for the next 5 years, By following Rate of Return Analysis and defining incremental rate of return define which alternative should be chosen? MARR is 11% (Wherever Necessary, use interest rates of 8% and 10% for your trials)
MARR = 11%
Life = 6 years
Calculating the incremental IRR using trial and error method
Let the interest rate is 9%
Calculate the PW of the incremental cash flow at 9%.
Years |
Alternative A |
Alternative B |
Incremental Cash Flow of A - B |
PW Factor at i=9% |
PW of ICF |
0 |
-7200 |
-3000 |
-4200 |
1 |
-4200 |
1 |
2100 |
1200 |
900 |
0.917431193 |
825.688073 |
2 |
2220 |
1300 |
920 |
0.841679993 |
774.345594 |
3 |
2340 |
1400 |
940 |
0.77218348 |
725.852471 |
4 |
2460 |
1500 |
960 |
0.708425211 |
680.088203 |
5 |
2580 |
1600 |
980 |
0.649931386 |
636.932759 |
6 |
2700 |
1700 |
1000 |
0.596267327 |
596.267327 |
Net Present Worth at 9% |
39.1744265 |
The NPW of the incremental cash flow is positive. Increase the rate of interest to get negative PW. Increase the rate of interest to 10% to get negative PW.
Calculate the PW of the incremental cash flow at 10%.
Years |
Alternative A |
Alternative B |
Incremental Cash Flow of A - B |
PW Factor at i=10% |
PW of ICF |
0 |
-7200 |
-3000 |
-4200 |
1 |
-4200 |
1 |
2100 |
1200 |
900 |
0.909090909 |
818.181818 |
2 |
2220 |
1300 |
920 |
0.826446281 |
760.330579 |
3 |
2340 |
1400 |
940 |
0.751314801 |
706.235913 |
4 |
2460 |
1500 |
960 |
0.683013455 |
655.692917 |
5 |
2580 |
1600 |
980 |
0.620921323 |
608.502897 |
6 |
2700 |
1700 |
1000 |
0.56447393 |
564.47393 |
Net Present Worth at 10% |
-86.5819467 |
Using interpolation
IRR = 9% + [39 – 0 ÷ 39 – (-87)]*1% = 9.31
IRR of Incremental Cash Flow of A – B is less than MARR (11%), so select B (Lowest Cost Alternative)
Note – For the accuracy purpose instead of 8%, we have used the 9%.