In: Statistics and Probability
Sam is writing a research paper for his graduation. On his draft of the paper, there are an average of 5 typos on each page. Assume each typo is independent.
d) What is the probability that Sam has 10 typos in Chapter 1 and 10 typos in Chapter 8 (which is 5 pages)?
e) It turns out that the first 4 chapters have the same number of pages (4 pages), what is the probability that Sam has 18 to 20 typos (inclusive) in 2 of the 4 chapters of his draft?
The number of typos per page = 5.
d) Chapter 1 contains 5 pages.
X : number of typos in chapter 1
Since number of typos per page is 5 and each typo is independent.
Hence the random variable X follow Poisson distribution with parameter lambda = 5 * 5 = 25.
The probability distribution of X is
Chapter 8 contains 5 pages.
Y : number of typos in chapter 8 .
Since number of typos per page is 5 and each typo is independent.
Hence the random variable Y follow Poisson distribution with parameter lambda = 5 * 5 = 25.
Required Probability = P ( X =10 , Y =10)
Since X and Y are independent
P ( X =10 , Y =10) = P ( X = 10) * P(Y=10)
Required Probability = 0.0004* 0.0004
= 1.6 * 10 -7.
P ( Sam has 10 typos in chapter 1 and 10 typos in chapter 8 ) = 1.6 * 10 -7.
e) Since each chapter contain 4 pages and number of typos per page is 5.
Consider the random variable
W: Number of typos per chapter
The probability distribution of random variable W is Poisson with parameter lambda = 4*5 = 20
The probability distribution of W is
P ( Chapter contains 18-20 typos) = P(W=18) + P(W=19) + P(W=20)
P ( Chapter contains 18-20 typos) = 0.0844 + 0.0888 + 0.0888 = 0.2620
n = number of chapter = 4.
p = probability of each chapter contains 18 to 20 typos. = 0.2620
Consider Z : Number of chapter contains 18 to 20 typos.
The probability distribution of Z is binomial with n = 4 and p = 0.2620.
The probability distribution of Z is
Required Probability = P ( Z=2)
=0.2243
P ( Sam has 18 to 20 typos in the 2 of the 4 chapter of his draft) = 0.2243.