In: Finance
Consider an investment that costs $100,000 and has a cash inflow of $25,000 every year for 5 years. The required return is 9%, and payback cutoff is 4 years.
A. What is the payback period?
B. What is the discounted payback period?
C. What is the NPV? D. What is the IRR?
E. Should we accept the project?
What method should be the primary decision rule?
When is the IRR rule unreliable?
Please include steps on how to solve and all parts to question. Thank you.
Answer:
Initial Outlay = $1,00,000
Annual Cash In-Flow = $ 25,000, Time Period = 5 Years
A) Payback Period: Initial Outlay/Cash Flow per year
Payback Period = 1,00,000/25,000 = 4 Years
B) Discounted Payback Period:
Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
CashFlows | -1,00,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 |
Present Value (Discounted at 9%) | -1,00,000 | 22936 | 21042 | 19305 | 17711 | 16248 |
Cumulative PV of Cashflows (Discounted) | 0 | 22936 | 43978 | 63282 | 80993 | 97241 |
Discounted Pay Back Period = Cumulative Value of PV of Cashflows (Discounted) upto 1 Lac (Initial Outlay)
So adding up Cash Flows we get: Cumulative Value of PV of Cashflows (Discounted) upto year 5 us 97,241 which is less than Initial outlay so discounted payback period is more than 5 year.
3) NPV = Present value of Cash Inflows - Present Value of Cash Outflows(Initial Investment)
NPV = 25,000/(1.09) + 25,000/(1.09)^2 + 25,000/(1.09)^3 + 25,000/(1.09)^4 + 25,000/(1.09)^5 - 1,00,000
NPV = 97241 - 100000
NPV = - $2759
IRR: Discount rate at which NPV is 0. or discount rate at which present value of cash inflows totals to initial investments (1,00,000)
at 9% discount rate: PV of Cash inflows = 97241
at 8% discount rate: PV of Cash inflows = 99,818
at 7.9% discount rate: PV of Cash inflows = 1,00,081
Using interpolation we get
IRR = 7.93%
D) No, we should not accept the project as IRR is less than cost of capital and NPV is negative
For primary decision NPV is preferred over other methods because of following points:
1) NPV assumes that cash flows are reinvested at cost of capital where as IRR assumes that cash flows are reinvested at IRR rate which is not a fair assumption
2) For unconventional cashflows there are multiple IRR possible, but there will only be one NPV
3) NPV helps to know the real creation of wealth for any project