In: Finance
Given the following information, what is the historical real return for long-term government bonds?
| Long-term government | 6.40% | 
| Long-term corporate | 6.50% | 
| Inflation rate | 3.15% | 
| (A) 9.75% | 
| (B) 3.25% | 
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 (C) 3.15% 
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 Consider the following information about two stocks and indicate which stock has the most systematic risk. 
 
 
 
 
 
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Solution :- 1
As per fisher equation
(1 + R) = (1+r) (1+h)
= (1+R) = ( 1+ 0.064) (1+0.0315)
= (1+R) = (1+0.0975)
= R = 0.0975 = 9.75%
Therefore the correct answer is (A)
Solution 2 :-
| State | Probability | Stock A | Stock B | ER(A) | ER(B) | 
| Recession | 0.15 | 0.11 | -0.35 | 0.0165 | -0.0525 | 
| Normal | 0.55 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.0990 | 0.0605 | 
| Boom | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.31 | 0.0240 | 0.0930 | 
| Return of Stocks | 0.1395 | 0.1010 | |||
| 13.95% | 10.10% | ||||
| Market Risk Premium = | 8.50% | ||||
| Risk Free Rate = | 3.00% | ||||
| As per CAPM equation | |||||
| Stock A | |||||
| ER(A) | = | Rf + Beta(Rm-Rf) | |||
| 13.95% | = | 3% + Beta(8.50% - 3%) | |||
| 10.95% | = | 5.5% Beta | |||
| Beta | = | 10.95/5.5 | = | 1.99 | |
| Stock B | |||||
| ER(B) | = | Rf + Beta(Rm-Rf) | |||
| 10.10% | = | 3% + Beta(8.50% - 3%) | |||
| 10.10% | = | 5.5% Beta | |||
| Beta | = | 10.10/5.5 | = | 1.84 | |
| Here the beta of Stock A is higher then beta of Stock B | |||||
| So Stock A has high systematic risk | |||||
| Therefore the correct answer is ( C ) | |||||