Question

Let x be a random variable that represents the level of glucose in the blood (milligrams per deciliter of blood) after a 12 hour fast. Assume that for people under 50 years old, x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 72 and estimated standard deviation σ = 24. A test result x < 40 is an indication of severe excess insulin, and medication is usually prescribed.

(a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x < 40? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x for two tests taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability distribution of x? Hint: See Theorem 6.1.

The probability distribution of x is not normal.The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μ_x = 72 and σ_x = 12.00.    The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μ_x = 72 and σ_x = 24.The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μ_x = 72 and σ_x = 16.97.

What is the probability that x < 40? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(d) Repeat part (b) for n = 5 tests taken a week apart. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(e) Compare your answers to parts (a), (b), (c), and (d). Did the probabilities decrease as n increased?

YesNo    

Explain what this might imply if you were a doctor or a nurse.

The more tests a patient completes, the weaker is the evidence for lack of insulin.The more tests a patient completes, the weaker is the evidence for excess insulin.    The more tests a patient completes, the stronger is the evidence for lack of insulin.The more tests a patient completes, the stronger is the evidence for excess insulin.

Answer 1

a) Given .

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b) Since x has a distribution that is approximately normal, according to central limit theorem, the probability distribution of of size will also be normal with mean and standard deviation shown below:

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c) Since x has a distribution that is approximately normal, according to central limit theorem, the probability distribution of of size will also be normal with mean and standard deviation shown below:

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d) Since x has a distribution that is approximately normal, according to central limit theorem, the probability distribution of of size will also be normal with mean and standard deviation shown below:

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e) Did the probabilities decrease as n increased?

The more tests a patient completes, the weaker is the evidence for lack of insulin.