In: Economics
Consider two mutually exclusive investment projects, each with MARR = 8% as shown in figure
A.On the basis of the IRR criterion, which alternative would be selected?
B. Determine the discounted payback period for each project.
| Project's Cash Flow | ||
| n | A | B |
| 0 | -$20,000 | -$25,000 |
| 1 | $6,000 | $10,000 |
| 2 | $2,000 | $3,000 |
| 3 | $11,000 | $8,000 |
| 4 | $4,000 | $2,000 |
| 5 | $5,000 | |
| 6 | $11,000 | |
| 7 | $2,000 | |
Using IRR Criterion,
Let the IRR for Project A be a
So 0 = -20000 + 6000 / (1+a/100)^1 + 2000 / (1+a/100)^2 + 11000 / (1+a/100)^3 + 4000 / (1+a/100)^4 + 5000 / (1+a/100)^5 + 11000 / (1+a/100)^6 + 2000 / (1+a/100)^7
Solving for a, we get a = 21.65%
Let the IRR for Project B b b
so 0 = -25000 + 10000 / (1+b/100)^1 + 3000 / (1+b/100)^2 + 8000 / (1+b/100)^3 + 2000 / (1+b/100)^4
Solving for b, we get b = -3.88%
Since negative IRR cannot be considered as it means the project will never give a NPV od 0, so project 1 has to be selected.
b) Using MARR of 8%,
the Present Value of the Project A is
| Period | Cashflow | PV at 8% |
| 0 | -20000 | -20000 |
| 1 | 6000 | 5555.556 |
| 2 | 2000 | 1714.678 |
| 3 | 11000 | 8732.155 |
| 4 | 4000 | 2940.119 |
| 5 | 5000 | 3402.916 |
| 6 | 11000 | 6931.866 |
| 7 | 2000 | 1166.981 |
Value remaining at end of 4th year = -20000 + 5555.56 + 1714.68 + 8732.15 + 2940.12 = -1057.49
If we consider that 3402.92 is spread uniformly over the next year, so 1057.49 will be recovered in
-1057.49 / 3402.92 years = 0.31 years.
So the payback period is 4.31 years.
For Project B, the total earnings in actual dollars is less than the initial cost. So it will not have a payback period ever.
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