Question

find the sample size needed to give a margin of error to estimate a proportion within plus minus 2% within 99% confidence within 95% confidence within 90% confidence assume no prior knowledge about the population proportion p

Answer 1

Solution:

Given:

E = Margin of Error = 2% = 0.02

p is unknown , thus p = 0.5

Part a)  99% confidence level

Formula:

Z_c is z critical value for c = 0.99 confidence level.

Find Area = ( 1+c)/2 = ( 1 + 0.99 ) / 2 = 1.99 /2 = 0.9950

Thus look in z table for Area = 0.9950 or its closest area and find corresponding z critical value.

From above table we can see area 0.9950 is in between 0.9949 and 0.9951 and both are at same distance from 0.9950, Hence corresponding z values are 2.57 and 2.58

Thus average of both z values is 2.575

Thus Z_c = 2.575

Thus

( Sample size is always rounded up)

Part b) 95% confidence level

Formula:

We need to find z_c value for c=95% confidence level.

Find Area = ( 1 + c ) / 2 = ( 1 + 0.95) /2 = 1.95 / 2 = 0.9750

Look in z table for Area = 0.9750 or its closest area and find z value.

Area = 0.9750 corresponds to 1.9 and 0.06 , thus z critical value = 1.96

That is : Z_c = 1.96

Thus

Part c) 90% confidence level

Formula:

Z_c is z critical value for c = 90% confidence level.

Find Area = ( 1 + c ) / 2 = ( 1 + 0.90) / 2 = 1.90 / 2 = 0.9500

Look in z table for Area = 0.9500 or its closest area and find corresponding z value.

Area 0.9500 is in between 0.9495 and 0.9505 and both the area are at same distance from 0.9500

Thus we look for both area and find both z values

Thus Area 0.9495 corresponds to 1.64 and 0.9505 corresponds to 1.65

Thus average of both z values is : ( 1.64+1.65) / 2 = 1.645

Thus Z_c = 1.645

Thus