Question

In: Finance

A 27-year maturity bond making annual coupon payments with a coupon rate of 9% has duration...

A 27-year maturity bond making annual coupon payments with a coupon rate of 9% has duration of 11.5 years and convexity of 191.2. The bond currently sells at a yield to maturity of 8%.

Required:
(a)

Find the price of the bond if its yield to maturity falls to 7% or rises to 9%. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places. Omit the "$" sign in your response.)

  Yield to maturity of 7% $   
  Yield to maturity of 9% $   

  

(b)

What prices for the bond at these new yields would be predicted by the duration rule and the duration-with-convexity rule?(Round your answers to 2 decimal places. Omit the "$" sign in your response.)

Duration rule Duration-with-
convexity rule
  YTM falls to 7% $    $   
  YTM increases to 9% $    $   

  

(c) What is the percent error for each rule? (Round your answers to 3 decimal places. Omit the "%" sign in your response.)

  

Duration rule Duration-with-
convexity rule
  Percent error for 7% YTM %   %  
  Percent error for 9% YTM %   %  

  

(d) What do you conclude about the accuracy of the two rules?

Solutions

Expert Solution

                  K = N
Bond Price =∑ [(Annual Coupon)/(1 + YTM)^k]     +   Par value/(1 + YTM)^N
                   k=1
                  K =27
Bond Price =∑ [(9*1000/100)/(1 + 8/100)^k]     +   1000/(1 + 8/100)^27
                   k=1
Bond Price = 1109.35
a)
New bond price @ YTM =7
                  K = N
Bond Price =∑ [(Annual Coupon)/(1 + YTM)^k]     +   Par value/(1 + YTM)^N
                   k=1
                  K =27
Bond Price =∑ [(9*1000/100)/(1 + 7/100)^k]     +   1000/(1 + 7/100)^27
                   k=1
Bond Price = 1239.73
New bond price @ YTM =9
                  K = N
Bond Price =∑ [(Annual Coupon)/(1 + YTM)^k]     +   Par value/(1 + YTM)^N
                   k=1
                  K =27
Bond Price =∑ [(9*1000/100)/(1 + 9/100)^k]     +   1000/(1 + 9/100)^27
                   k=1
Bond Price = 1000
b)
New bond price @ YTM =7 using duration
Mod.duration prediction = -Mod. Duration*Yield_Change*Bond_Price
=-11.5*-0.01*1109.35
=127.57525
New bond price = bond price+Modified duration prediction
=1109.35+127.57525
=1236.93
New bond price @ YTM =7 using duration and convexity
Convexity adjustment = 0.5*convexity*Yield_Change^2*Bond_Price
=0.5*191.2*-0.01^2*1109.35
=10.605386
New bond price = bond price+Mod.duration pred.+convex. Adj.
=1109.35+127.58+-10.61
=1247.54
New bond price @ YTM =9 using duration
Mod.duration prediction = -Mod. Duration*Yield_Change*Bond_Price
=-11.5*0.01*1109.35
=-127.57525
New bond price = bond price+Modified duration prediction
=1109.35+-127.57525
=981.77
New bond price @ YTM =9 using duration and convexity
Convexity adjustment = 0.5*convexity*Yield_Change^2*Bond_Price
=0.5*191.2*0.01^2*1109.35
=10.605386
New bond price = bond price+Mod.duration pred.+convex. Adj.
=1109.35+-127.58+10.61
=992.38
c)
Percentage error for YTM =7 and duration rule
Difference in price predicted and actual
=predicted price-actual price
=1236.92525-1239.73
=-2.805
%age difference = difference/actual
=-2.805/1239.73
=-0.23%
Percentage error for YTM =7 and duration & convexity rule
Difference in price predicted and actual
=predicted price-actual price
=1247.54-1239.73
=7.81
%age difference = difference/actual
=7.81/1239.73
=0.63%
Percentage error for YTM =7 and duration rule
Difference in price predicted and actual
=predicted price-actual price
=981.77475-1000
=-18.225
%age difference = difference/actual
=-18.225/1000
=-0.23%
Percentage error for YTM =7 and duration & convexity rule
Difference in price predicted and actual
=predicted price-actual price
=992.38-1000
=7.81
%age difference = difference/actual
=-7.62/1000
=-0.76%

d. Duration rule is more accurate than convexity +duration rule


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