In: Finance
Question 1:
You earn 15% in year 1, 25% in year 2 and 20% in year 3, what is your 3-year net return?
Question 2:
how to rank the following investments
Investment 1: return--10% variance--5%
Investment 2: return--20% variance--15%
Investment 3: return--12% variance—20%
Risk-free rate: 5% (by assumption)
Reminder: convert variance to standard deviation first
Question 1. Calculation of 3 year net return:
Return means expected return or mean return or average return.
Therefore,
Expected return (simple average) for 3 years (15%+25%+20%)/3 = 20%
Expected return (weighted average give more weight in lates year and less weight in oldest year):
Expected retrun(Weighted Average) = [(1*15%)+(2*25%)+(3*20)]/(1+2+3) = 20.83%
Question 2. Ranking the investment:
Conversion of variance into standard deviation
Investment 1 = Variance 5% into Standard deviation = 2.236
Investment 2 = Variance 15% into Standard deviation = 3.873
Investment 3 = Variance 5% into Standard deviation = 4.472
Risk return analysis:
Investment | Return | Standard Deviation | Rank | Analysis |
1 | 10% | 2.236 | III | Lower return and lower risk compared to investment 2 and 3 |
2 | 20% | 3.873 | I | Higher return but lower risk than investment 3 |
3 | 12% | 4.472 | II | Higher return and higher risk than invesstment 1 |