In: Statistics and Probability
Assume that the duration of human pregnancies can be described by a Normal model with mean 267 days and standard deviation 14 days.
a) What percentage of pregnancies should last between 272 and 284 days?
b) At least how many days should the longest 20%of all pregnancies last?
c) Suppose a certain obstetrician is currently providing prenatal care to 60 pregnant women. Let y
represent the mean length of their pregnancies. According to the Central Limit Theorem, what's the distribution of this sample mean, y? Specify the model, mean, and standard deviation.
d) What's the probability that the mean duration of these patients' pregnancies will be less than 256 days?
Part a)
X ~ N ( µ = 267 , σ = 14 )
P ( 272 < X < 284 )
P (( 272 - 267 ) / 14 < ( X - µ ) / σ < ( 284- 267 ) / 14
)
= P ( Z < 1.07) - P ( Z < 0.36 )
value of z is obtain from stnadard normal table
= 0.8580 - 0.6395
P ( 272 < X < 284 ) = 0.2185
# 21.85% of pregnancies should last between 272 and 284 days
Part b)
X ~ N ( µ = 267 , σ = 14 )
P ( X > x ) = 1 - P ( X < x ) = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8
To find the value of x
Looking for the probability 0.8 in standard normal table to
calculate Z score = 0.8416
Z = ( X - µ ) / σ
0.8416= ( X - 267 ) / 14
X = 278.78
P ( X > 278.78 ) = 0.8
# At least 279 days should the longest 20%of all pregnancies last
Part c)
µX̅ = µ = 267
σX̅ = σ / √ (n) = 14/√60 = 1.80739
Shape would be Normal with mean = 267 and standard deviation = 1.80739
Part d)
X ~ N ( µ = 267 , σ = 14 )
P ( X < 256 )
P(( X - µ ) / (σ/√(n)< ( 256 - 267 ) / ( 14 / √60 ))
P ( X < 256 ) = P ( Z < -6.09 )
P ( X̅ < 256 ) = 0