In: Statistics and Probability
Assume that the duration of human pregnancies can be described by a Normal model with mean 268 days and standard deviation 16 days. a) What percentage of pregnancies should last between 274 and 285 days? b) At least how many days should the longest 15% of all pregnancies last? c) Suppose a certain obstetrician is currently providing prenatal care to 51 pregnant women. Let y overbar represent the mean length of their pregnancies. According to the Central Limit Theorem, what's the distribution of this sample mean, y overbar? Specify the model, mean, and standard deviation. d) What's the probability that the mean duration of these patients' pregnancies will be less than 258 days? a) The percentage of pregnancies that should last between 274 and 285 days is nothing%. (Round to two decimal places as needed.) b) The longest 15% of all
pregnancies should last at least nothing days. (Round to one decimal place as needed.) c) Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer box(es) within your choice. A. A Binomial model with nothing trials and a probability of success of nothing (Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.) B. A Normal model with mean nothing and standard deviation nothing (Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.) C. There is no model that fits this distribution. d) The probability that the mean duration of these patients' pregnancies will be less than 258 days is nothing.
µ = 268, σ = 16
a) The percentage of pregnancies that should last between 274 and 285 days, P(274 < X < 285) =
= P( (274-268)/16 < (X-µ)/σ < (285-268)/16 )
= P(0.375 < z < 1.0625)
= P(z < 1.0625) - P(z < 0.375)
Using excel function:
= NORM.S.DIST(1.0625, 1) - NORM.S.DIST(0.375, 1)
= 0.2098 = 20.98%
b)
P(x > a) = 0.15
= 1 - P(x < a) = 0.15
= P(x < a) = 0.85
Z score at p = 0.85 using excel = NORM.S.INV(0.85) = 1.0364
Value of X = µ + z*σ = 268 + (1.0364)*16 = 284.6
c) Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer box(es) within your choice. A.
µₓ = 268
σₓ = σ/√n = 16/√51 = 2.2404
Answer: B. A Normal model with mean 268 and standard deviation 2.24
d) Probability that the mean duration of these patients' pregnancies will be less than 258 days, P(X̅ < 258) =
= P( (X̅-μ)/(σ/√n) < (258-268)/(16/√51) )
= P(z < -4.4634)
Using excel function:
= NORM.S.DIST(-4.4634, 1)
= 0.00