In: Operations Management
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Pizza King (PK) and Noble Greek (NG) are competitive pizza chains. PK believes there is a 30% chance that NG will charge $8 per pizza, a 50% that NG will charge $10 per pizza, and a 20% chance that NG will charge $12 per pizza. If PK charges price p1 and NG charges price p2, PK will sell 100 + 25(p2 – p1) pizzas. It costs PK $6 to make a pizza. PK is considering charging $7, $8, $9, $10, or $11 per pizza. To maximize its expected profit, what price should PK charge for a pizza?
States of nature | Expected | ||||
NG's price | $8 | $10 | $20 | Monetary | |
Probability | 30% | 50% | 20% | Value | |
Pricing of PK | $7 | $125 | $175 | $425 | $210 |
$8 | $200 | $300 | $800 | $370 | |
$9 | $225 | $375 | $1,125 | $480 | |
$10 | $200 | $400 | $1,400 | $540 | |
$11 | $125 | $375 | $1,625 | $550 (max) |
Calculations
Decision: Based on the maximum expected monetary value rule, PK should select a price of $11.