In: Statistics and Probability
The Student Government Association at SLAY University wanted to demonstrate the relation ship between the number of beers a student drink and their blood alcohol content (BAC). A random sample of 18 students participated in a study in which each student was randomly assigned a number of cans of beers to drink. 30 minutes later their BAC was measured. Answer the following questions. Use alpha .05 for the test statistic.
Beers |
BAC |
|
6 |
.10 |
|
3 |
.12 |
|
4 |
.10 |
|
7 |
.09 |
|
5 |
.07 |
|
6 |
.07 |
|
3 |
.09 |
|
4 |
.10 |
|
2 |
.12 |
|
2 |
.08 |
|
3 |
.05 |
|
4 |
.09 |
|
1 |
.09 |
|
3 |
.10 |
|
4 |
.10 |
|
2 |
.07 |
|
2 |
.09 |
|
5 |
.06 |
X | Y | (x-x̅)² | (y-ȳ)² | (x-x̅)(y-ȳ) |
6 | 0.1 | 5.4444 | 0.0001 | 0.0272 |
3 | 0.12 | 0.4444 | 0.0010 | -0.0211 |
4 | 0.1 | 0.1111 | 0.0001 | 0.0039 |
7 | 0.09 | 11.1111 | 0.0000 | 0.0056 |
5 | 0.07 | 1.7778 | 0.0003 | -0.0244 |
6 | 0.07 | 5.4444 | 0.0003 | -0.0428 |
3 | 0.09 | 0.4444 | 0.0000 | -0.0011 |
4 | 0.1 | 0.1111 | 0.0001 | 0.0039 |
2 | 0.12 | 2.7778 | 0.0010 | -0.0528 |
2 | 0.08 | 2.7778 | 0.0001 | 0.0139 |
3 | 0.05 | 0.4444 | 0.0015 | 0.0256 |
4 | 0.09 | 0.1111 | 0.0000 | 0.0006 |
1 | 0.09 | 7.1111 | 0.0000 | -0.0044 |
3 | 0.1 | 0.4444 | 0.0001 | -0.0078 |
4 | 0.1 | 0.1111 | 0.0001 | 0.0039 |
2 | 0.07 | 2.7778 | 0.0003 | 0.0306 |
2 | 0.09 | 2.7778 | 0.0000 | -0.0028 |
5 | 0.06 | 1.7778 | 0.0008 | -0.0378 |
ΣX | ΣY | Σ(x-x̅)² | Σ(y-ȳ)² | Σ(x-x̅)(y-ȳ) | |
total sum | 66 | 1.59 | 46 | 0.00605 | -0.08 |
mean | 3.6667 | 0.0883 | SSxx | SSyy | SSxy |
sample size , n = 18
here, x̅ = 3.666666667 , ȳ
= 0.088333333
SSxx = Σ(x-x̅)² = 46
SSxy= Σ(x-x̅)(y-ȳ) = -0.08
-----------------------------------------
coefficient of determination,R² = (Sxy)²/(Sx.Sy) = 0.0230
------------------------------------------------------
correlation coefficient , r = Sxy/√(Sx.Sy)
= -0.1516
-------------------------------
there is weak negative coorelation between the number of beers a student drink and their blood alcohol content (BAC)
------------------------------------------------
0.0230 proportion of the variation in BAC is explained by variation in # beers
-----------------------------------------------------------
Ho: ρ = 0
Ha: ρ ╪ 0
n= 18
alpha,α = 0.05
correlation , r= -0.1516
t-test statistic = t = r*√(n-2)/√(1-r²) =
-0.6137
--------------------------------------------------
p-value = 0.5481
since,p-value>0.05, so do not reject H0
hence, we cannot concluded that the true correlation coefficient is not zero at α=0.05
--------------------------------------------------------
slope , ß1 = SSxy/SSxx =
-0.00174
intercept, ß0 = y̅-ß1* x̄ =
0.09471
so, regression line is Ŷ =
0.0947 + -0.0017 *x
X=8
Ŷ = 0.0947 + -0.0017 *8 = 0.081
estimated value of BAC for students that drink 8
beers=0.081
----------------------------------------
Each additional beer increases a student's BAC by -0.0017
--------------------
when beer =0 then Students's BAC amount=0.0947
--------------------------------
slope hypothesis test
tail= 2
Ho: ß1= 0
H1: ß1╪ 0
n= 18
alpha= 0.05
estimated std error of slope =Se(ß1) =
s/√Sxx =
0.0028
t stat = ß1 /Se(ß1) =
-0.613684811
p-value = 0.5481
decision : p-value>α , do not reject Ho
so,there is not enough evidence to conclude that beer is a useful predictor for BAC at α=0.05