In: Finance
The forecasted dividend per share in 2019 (it is 2011 in the case) is $1.21. If the dividend per share is expected to grow by 6% each year over the period 2020 to 2024, and stabilizes to 3% each year forever, determine the following:
C) What is the estimated market value of equity?
discount rate = 12%
Required rate of return (Ke )= 12% or | 0.12 | ||
Growth for year (2020 to 2024) 1to 5 year = 6% or 0.06 |
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Growth from 6 year onwards = 3% or 0.03 |
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D1 = | 1.21 | ||
D2 = 1.21 * (1 + 0.06) = | 1.2826 | ||
D3 = D2 *(1+0.06) = | 1.359556 | ||
D4 = D3 *(1+0.06) = | 1.44112936 | ||
D5 = D4*(1+0.06) = | 1.527597122 | ||
D6 = D5 *(1+0.06) = | 1.619252949 | ||
D7 = D6*(1+0.03) = | 1.667830537 | ||
Price of stock at end of Year 6(P6) = D7/(Ke -g) |
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1.667830537/(0.12 - 0.03) |
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18.53145042 | |||
Current market price today is present value of stock that is equal to present value of dividend received upto 2 Years and Price of stock received at end of 2 Year |
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Year | Cash flows | P.V.F.@ 12% |
Cash flows * PVF |
1 (D1) | 1.2100 | 0.8929 | 1.0804 |
2 (D2) | 1.2826 | 0.7972 | 1.0225 |
3 (D3) | 1.3596 | 0.7118 | 0.9677 |
4 (D4) | 1.4411 | 0.6355 | 0.9159 |
5 (D5) | 1.5276 | 0.5674 | 0.8668 |
6(D6) | 1.6193 | 0.5066 | 0.8204 |
6(P6) | 18.5315 | 0.5066 | 9.3886 |
Current value | 15.0622 | ||
so, best estimate of current market value of Equity is $15.06 |
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Note : PVF formula = 1/(1+i)^n |
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For 1 year, 1/(1+0.12)^1 = |
0.8928571429 | ||
For 2 year, 1/(1+0.12)^2 = |
0.7971938776 | ||
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