In: Statistics and Probability
We are interested in looking at ticket prices of MLB games. It is known from past information that the average price is $26.30, with a population standard deviation of $2.32. Suppose we take a sample of the last 5 years and find that the average ticket price is $29.94. We are interested in seeing if the average price of tickets has significantly increased. Use alpha=.10.
Find the 90% confidence interval for ticket price.
The null and alternative hypotheses are:
What is the critical value?
What is the p-value?
What conclusion would be made here?
Sample size, n =5 years
Hypothesised mean, =26.30
Population standard deviation, =2.32
Sample mean, =29.94
Since n<30 (small sample), we shall use t-score. For right tailed test, at n - 1 =4 degrees of freedom and at 0.10 alpha, the value of t =1.533
90% one sided confidence interval (right-tailed) for the population mean, is:
=(- , ) =(- , 29.94 + (1.533*2.32/) =(-, 31.53)
Null Hypothesis:
The average price of tickets has not significantly increased.
Alternative Hypothesis:
The average price of tickets has significantly increased.
Test statistic:
t-stat = =(29.94 - 26.30)/(2.32/) =3.51
Critical value:
Significance level, =0.10
Degrees of freedom, df =n - 1 =4
Type of test =Right-tailed
So, tcritical =1.533
p-value:
p-value for the test statistic of t-stat =3.51 at 4 degrees of freedom for right-tailed test is: p-value =0.012
Conclusion:
Since p-value of 0.012 is less than the significance level(alpha) of 0.10 (0.012 < 0.10), we reject the null hypothesis(H0) at 0.10 significance level.
Thus, there is a sufficient evidence to claim that the average price of tickets has significantly increased.