In: Statistics and Probability
You are considering the risk-return profile of two mutual funds
for investment. The relatively risky fund promises an expected
return of 13% with a standard deviation of 17.9%. The relatively
less risky fund promises an expected return and standard deviation
of 3.3% and 5.4%, respectively. Assume that the returns are
approximately normally distributed. [You may find it useful
to reference the z table.]
a-1. Calculate the probability of earning a
negative return for each fund. (Round "z" value to
2 decimal places and final answers to 4 decimal
places.)
Probability
Riskier fund
Less risky fund
b-1. Calculate the probability of earning a return
above 8.8% for each fund. (Round "z"
value to 2 decimal places and final answers to 4 decimal
places.)
Probability
Riskier fund
Less risky fund
from the given data of information
the risk return profile of two mutual funds for investment
mean=13
standard deviation= 17.9
relatively less risky fund if y is the return of that fund at particular moment
mean=3.3
standard deviation=5.4
for negative return
pr(negative return for relatively risker fund)= pr(x<0)
= pr(x<0;13%,17.9%)
z=(0-13)/17.9
= 0.72
pr(x<0)=pr(x<0;13%,17.9%)
= pr(z< -0.72)=0.2358
pr(negative return for less risker fund)=pr(x<0)
=pr(x<0;3.3%,5.4%)
z=(0-3.3)/5.4
= 0.61
pr(x<0)=pr(x<0;3.3%,5.4)
pr(z< -0.61) = 0.2709
the relatively more risker fund
here thr return morethan 8.8%
pr(return more than 8.8%for relatively risker fund)= pr(x>8.8%) =pr(x>8.8%;13%,17.9%)
z=(8.8-13)/17.9= 0.2346
pr(x>8.8)= pr(x>8.8%;13%,17.9%)
pr(z>-0.2346)=1- 0.4090= 0.591
pr(return more than 8.8for less risker fund)=pr(x>8.8)=pr(x>8.8%;3.3%,5.4%)
z=(8.8-3.3)/5.4= 1.0185
pr(x>8.8%)=p(x>8.8%;3.3%5.4%)= pr(z>1.0185)
=0.1538