Question

In: Statistics and Probability

n a recent poll, a random sample of adults in some country (18 years and older)...

n a recent poll, a random sample of adults in some country (18 years and older) was asked, "When you see an ad emphasizing that a product is "Made in our country," are you more likely to buy it, less likely to buy it, or neither more nor less likely to buy it?" The results of the survey, by age group, are presented in the following contingency table. Complete parts (a) through (c).

Purchase likelihood

18 dash 3418-34

35 dash 4435-44

45 dash 5445-54

55 plus55+

Total

More likelyMore likely

227227

358358

371371

400400

13561356

Less likelyLess likely

2929

66

2222

1212

6969

Neither more nor less likelyNeither more nor less likely

281281

203203

167167

112112

763763

Total

537537

567567

560560

524524

21882188

(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected individual is

35 to 4435 to 44

years of age, given the individual is

more likelymore likely

to buy a product emphasized as "Made in our country"?The probability is approximately

nothing.

(Round to three decimal places as needed.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:

Given:

Numbers given in tables are repeated in each cell. So I have reconstructed table as below:

"When you see an ad emphasizing that a product is "Made in our country," are you more likely to buy it, less likely to buy it, or neither more nor less likely to buy it?"

Purchase likelihood 18-34 35-44 45-54 55+ Total
More likely 227 358 371 400 1356
Less likely 29 6 22 12 69
Neither more nor less likely 281 203 167 112 763
Total 537 567 560 524 2188

Part a) Find the probability that a randomly selected individual is 35 to 44 years of age, given the individual is more likely to buy a product emphasized as "Made in our country".

Let A : individual is 35 to 44 years of age and

B : the individual is more likely to buy a product emphasized as "Made in our country"

So we have to find : P( A given B) =........?

That is:

P(A | B) = ............?

We use conditional probability formula to find above probability:

where

P(A and B) = Number of individual is 35 to 44 years of age as well as is more likely to buy a product / N

P(A and B) = 358 / 2188

and

P(B) =Number of individual is more likely to buy a product emphasized as "Made in our country" / N

P(B) = 1356 / 2188

Thus

Thus the probability that a randomly selected individual is 35 to 44 years of age, given the individual is more likely to buy a product emphasized as "Made in our country" is : 0.264


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