In: Statistics and Probability
In a recent survey conducted, a random sample of adults 18 years of age or older living in a certain country were asked their reaction to the word socialism. In addition, the individuals were asked to disclose which political party they most associate with. Results of the survey are given in the table. Complete parts (a) through (c) below.
_ | Democrats | Independents | Republicans |
Positive | 216 | 64 | 158 |
Negative | 270 | 370 | 411 |
(a) Does the evidence suggest individuals within each political affiliation react differently to the word "socialism"? Use the
alpha equals 0.05
level of significance.
State the hypotheses.
A.Upper H 0: pSubscript Upper DequalspSubscript Upper RequalspSubscript Upper I
Upper H 1:At least one of the proportions is different from the others.
B.Upper H 0: Political party and reaction are independent.
Upper H 1:Political party and reaction are dependent.
C.Upper H 0:Political party and reaction are dependent.
Upper H 1:Political party and reaction are independent.
D.Upper H 0: OSubscript Upper D equalsESubscript Upper Dand OSubscript Upper R equalsESubscript Upper Rand OSubscript Upper I equalsESubscript Upper I
Upper H 1: At least one mean is different from what is expected.
Compute the P-value.
The P-value=?
Make the proper conclusion. Choose the correct answer below.
A.Yes, there is evidence because the P-value is greater than alpha.
B.Yes, there is evidence because the P-value is less than alpha.
C.No, there is no evidence because the P-value is greater than alpha.
D.No, there is no evidence because the P-value is less than alpha.
(b) Construct a conditional distribution of reaction by political party.
Democrats | Independents | Republicans | |
Positive | |||
Negative |
(c) Write a summary about the "partisan divide" regarding the reaction to the word "socialism."
A.Democrats, Independents, and Republicans all had a majority negative reaction. The proportions are likely to be equal.
B.Republicans and Independents are far more likely to react negatively to the word "socialism" than Democrats are. All groups had a majority negative reaction.
C.Democrats are far more likely to react negatively to the word"socialism" than Independents and Republicans are. All groups had a majority negative reaction.
D.Republicans and Democrats are far more likely to react negatively to the word "socialism" than Independentsare. All groups had a majority negative reaction.
Chi-Square Test of independence | |||||||
Observed Frequencies | |||||||
0 | |||||||
0 | DEMOCRAT | INDEPENDT | REPUCLIC | Total | |||
POSITIVE | 216 | 64 | 158 | 438 | |||
NEGATIVE | 270 | 370 | 411 | 1051 | |||
Total | 486 | 434 | 569 | 1489 | |||
Expected frequency of a cell = sum of row*sum of column / total sum | |||||||
Expected Frequencies | |||||||
DEMOCRAT | INDEPENDT | REPUCLIC | Total | ||||
POSITIVE | 486*438/1489=142.96 | 434*438/1489=127.664 | 569*438/1489=167.375 | 438 | |||
NEGATIVE | 486*1051/1489=343.04 | 434*1051/1489=306.336 | 569*1051/1489=401.625 | 1051 | |||
Total | 486 | 434 | 569 | 1489 | |||
(fo-fe)^2/fe | |||||||
POSITIVE | 37.317 | 31.748 | 0.525 | ||||
NEGATIVE | 15.552 | 13.231 | 0.219 |
Chi-Square Test Statistic,χ² = Σ(fo-fe)^2/fe
= 98.591
Level of Significance = 0.05
Number of Rows = 2
Number of Columns = 3
Degrees of Freedom=(#row - 1)(#column -1) = (2- 1 ) * ( 3- 1 )
= 2
p-Value = 0.0000 [Excel function:
=CHISQ.DIST.RT(χ²,df) ]
Decision: p-value < α , Reject Ho
B.Yes, there is evidence because the P-value is less than alpha.
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