In: Statistics and Probability
An interactive poll found that 393 of 2,261 adults aged 18 or older have at least one tattoo. ?(a) Obtain a point estimate for the proportion of adults who have at least one tattoo. ?(b) Construct a 90?% confidence interval for the proportion of adults with at least one tattoo. ?(c) Construct a 99?% confidence interval for the proportion of adults with at least one tattoo. ?(d) What is the effect of increasing the level of confidence on the width of the? interval?
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2261
x = 393
a ) = x / n = 393 / 2261 = 0.174
1 - = 1 - 0.174 = 0.826
b ) At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 * (((0.174 * 0.826) / 2261) = 0.013
A 90 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.174 - 0.013 < p < 0.174 + 0.013
0.161 < p < 0.187
c ) At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 * (((0.174 * 0.826) / 2261) = 0.021
A 90 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.174- 0.021 < p < 0.174 + 0.021
0.153 < p < 0.195
d ) The increasing the level of confidence on the increasing width of the? interval.