In: Statistics and Probability
In a recent poll of 1018 adults aged 18 and over in a country, 4% of respondents said they were very uncomfortable with their ability to make their monthly payments on their current debt during the next three months. Find a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of the adult population that feels this way.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1018
Point estimate = sample proportion =
=0.04
1 -
= 1-0.04=0.96
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
= 1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z
/ 2 *
((
* (1 -
)) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.04*0.96)
/1018 )
E = 0.0120
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p <
+ E
0.04-0.0120< p <0.04+ 0.0120
0.0280< p < 0.0520
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.0280,0.0520