In: Statistics and Probability
In a certain state, about 70% of drivers who are arrested for driving while intoxicated (DWI) are convicted.
a. If 12 independently selected drivers were arrested for DWI, how many of them would you expect to be convicted? Choose the correct answer below.
A. 6
B. 9
C. 7
D. 8
Your answer is correct. b.
What is the probability that exactly 8 out of 12 independently selected drivers are convicted?
The probability that exactly 8 out of 12 12 drivers are convicted is . 231.
(Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.)
c. What is the probability that 8 or fewer are convicted?
The probability that 8 or fewer drivers are convicted is ________.
(Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.)
Binomial Distribution :
Binomial Distribution
If 'X' is the random variable representing the number of successes, the probability of getting ‘r’ successes and ‘n-r’ failures, in 'n' trails, ‘p’ probability of success ‘q’=(1-p) is given by the probability function
Expected Value of X : E(X) = np
For the Given problem,
Probability of a driver arrested for driving while intoxicated (DWI) are convicted : p= 70/100= 0.7
q = 1-p = 1-0.7 = 0.3
Number of independently selected drivers were arrested for DWI = 12
X : Number of selected drivers that are convicted
X follows a Binomial Distribution with probability mass function
a. If 12 independently selected drivers were arrested for DWI, how many of them would you expect to be convicted
i.e E(X)
E(X) = np = 12 x 0.7 = 8.4
b.
probability that exactly 8 out of 12 independently selected drivers are convicted = P(X=8)
The probability that exactly 8 out of 12 drivers are convicted is . 231.
c. probability that 8 or fewer are convicted = P(X8)
P(X8) = 1 - P(X>8)
P(X>8) = P(X=9)+P(X=10)+P(X=11)+P(X=12)
P(X>8) = P(X=9)+P(X=10)+P(X=11)+P(X=12) = 0.4925
P(X8) = 1 - P(X>8) = 1-0.4925=0.5075
The probability that 8 or fewer drivers are convicted is 0.5075