In: Statistics and Probability
QUESTION 10
What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?
QUESTION 8 Question 8-10 are based on the following information: The Centers for Disease Control reported the percentage of people 18 years of age and older who smoke (CDC website, December 14, 2014). Suppose that a study designed to collect new data on smokers and nonsmokers uses a preliminary estimate of the proportion who smoke of .35. How large a sample should be taken to estimate the proportion of smokers in the population with a margin of error of .02 (to the nearest whole number)? Use 95% confidence.
0.075 points QUESTION 9 Assume that the study uses your sample size recommendation in Question 8 and finds 520 smokers. What is the point estimate of the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?
0.075 points QUESTION 10 What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8)
Solution :
Given that,
margin of error = E = 0.02
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
sample size = n = (Z
/ 2 / E )2 *
* (1 -
)
= (1.96 / 0.02)2 * 0.35 * 0.65
= 2184.91 = 2185
sample size = 2185
9)
n = 2185
x = 520
Point estimate = sample proportion =
= x / n = 520 / 2185 = 0.2380
10)
Margin of error = E = Z
/ 2 *
((
* (1 -
)) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.2380
* 0.7620) / 2185)
= 0.0179
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
0.2380 - 0.0179 < p < 0.2380 + 0.0179
0.2201 < p < 0.2558
(0.2201 , 0.2358)