Question

In: Statistics and Probability

QUESTION 10 What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population...

QUESTION 10

  1. What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?

    QUESTION 8

    Question 8-10 are based on the following information:

    The Centers for Disease Control reported the percentage of people 18 years of age and older who smoke (CDC website, December 14, 2014). Suppose that a study designed to collect new data on smokers and nonsmokers uses a preliminary estimate of the proportion who smoke of .35.

    How large a sample should be taken to estimate the proportion of smokers in the population with a margin of error of .02 (to the nearest whole number)? Use 95% confidence.

    2000

    2312

    2185

    2285

    0.075 points   

    QUESTION 9

    Assume that the study uses your sample size recommendation in Question 8 and finds 520 smokers. What is the point estimate of the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?

    0.2380

    0.2250

    0.2423

    0.2678

    0.075 points   

    QUESTION 10

    What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?

    0.2280, 0.2673

    0.2103, 0.2549

    0.2211, 0.5509

    0.2201, 0.2558

Solutions

Expert Solution

8)

Solution :

Given that,

= 0.35

1 - = 1 - 0.35 = 0.65

margin of error = E = 0.02

At 95% confidence level the z is ,

= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05

/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025

Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96

sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )

= (1.96 / 0.02)2 * 0.35 * 0.65

= 2184.91 = 2185

sample size = 2185

9)

n = 2185

x = 520

Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 520 / 2185 = 0.2380

10)

1 - = 1 - 0.2380 = 0.7620

Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)

= 1.96 * (((0.2380 * 0.7620) / 2185)

= 0.0179

A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,

- E < p < + E

0.2380 - 0.0179 < p < 0.2380 + 0.0179

0.2201 < p < 0.2558

(0.2201 , 0.2358)


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