In: Statistics and Probability
QUESTION 10
What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?
QUESTION 8 Question 8-10 are based on the following information: The Centers for Disease Control reported the percentage of people 18 years of age and older who smoke (CDC website, December 14, 2014). Suppose that a study designed to collect new data on smokers and nonsmokers uses a preliminary estimate of the proportion who smoke of .35. How large a sample should be taken to estimate the proportion of smokers in the population with a margin of error of .02 (to the nearest whole number)? Use 95% confidence.
0.075 points QUESTION 9 Assume that the study uses your sample size recommendation in Question 8 and finds 520 smokers. What is the point estimate of the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?
0.075 points QUESTION 10 What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of smokers in the population (to 4 decimals)?
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8)
Solution :
Given that,
= 0.35
1 - = 1 - 0.35 = 0.65
margin of error = E = 0.02
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (1.96 / 0.02)2 * 0.35 * 0.65
= 2184.91 = 2185
sample size = 2185
9)
n = 2185
x = 520
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 520 / 2185 = 0.2380
10)
1 - = 1 - 0.2380 = 0.7620
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.2380 * 0.7620) / 2185)
= 0.0179
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.2380 - 0.0179 < p < 0.2380 + 0.0179
0.2201 < p < 0.2558
(0.2201 , 0.2358)