In: Advanced Math
Suppose we want to use Twitter activity to predict box office receipts on the opening weekend for movies. Assuming a linear relationship, the Excel output for this regression model is given below.
Excel output:
SUMMARY OUTPUT |
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Regression Statistics |
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Multiple R |
0.9879 |
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R Square |
0.9760 |
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Adjusted R Square |
0.9712 |
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Standard Error |
1830.236 |
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Observations |
7 |
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ANOVA |
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df |
SS |
MS |
F |
Significance F |
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Regression |
1 |
6.81E+08 |
6.81E+08 |
203.153 |
3.06E-05 |
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Residual |
5 |
16748821 |
3349764 |
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Total |
6 |
6.97E+08 |
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Coefficients |
Standard Error |
t Stat |
P-value |
Lower 95% |
Upper 95% |
Lower 95.0% |
Upper 95.0% |
|
Intercept |
6808.105 |
854.968 |
7.962991 |
0.000504 |
4610.339 |
9005.87 |
4610.339 |
9005.87 |
Twitter Activity |
0.0503 |
0.00353 |
14.25318 |
3.06E-05 |
0.041205 |
0.059338 |
0.041205 |
0.059338 |
(a) State the regression equation for this problem.
(b) Interpret the meaning of b0 and b1 in this problem.
(c) Predict the box office receipts on the opening weekend for a movie that has a Twitter activity of 110,000.
(d) At the 0.05 level of significance, is there evidence of a linear relationship between the Twitter activity and the box office receipts on the opening weekend for a movie?
(e) Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population slope β1. Interpret the confidence interval estimate.
(f) How useful do you think this regression model is for predicting the box office receipts on the opening weekend for a movie?