In: Statistics and Probability
A box office analyst seeks to predict opening weekend box office gross for movies. Toward this goal, the analyst plans to use online trailer views as a predictor. For each of the 66 movies, the number of online trailer views from the release of the trailer through the Saturday before a movie opens and the opening weekend box office gross (in millions of dollars) are collected and stored in the accompanying table. A linear regression was performed on these data, and the result is the linear regression equation: Yi=-0.843+1.4100Xi Complete parts (a) through (d).
a. Determine the coefficient of determination,r squared, and interpret its meaning.
r squared= _______(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Interpret the meaning of r squared.
The value of r squared indicates that ____% of the variation in _____ (online trailer reviews or box office gross) can be explained by the variation in______(online trailer reviews. or box office gross.) (Round to one decimal place as needed.)
b. Determine the standard error of the estimate.
Syx=_______ (Round to two decimal places as needed.)
c. How useful do you think this regression model is for predicting opening weekend box office gross?
A. It is not useful for predicting box office gross because the coefficient of determination is close to 0.
B. It is not useful for predicting box office gross because the coefficient of determination is close to 1.
C.It is very useful for predicting box office gross because the coefficient of determination is very close to 1.
D.It is somewhat useful for predicting box office gross because the coefficient of determination is closer to 1 than it is to 0.
d. Can you think of other variables that might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross? Select all that apply.
A.The amount spent on advertising might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross, because viewers are probably more likely to watch a movie that has been advertised heavily.
B.The timing of the release of the movie might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross, because a movie released at the same time as multiple other major movies may get crowded out.
C.The type of movie might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross, since some genres are more heavily attended than others.
Data Table
Online Trailer Views (millions) | Opening Weekend Box Office Gross ($millions) |
60.353 | 33.402 |
12.595 | 7.514 |
11.673 | 5.285 |
8.69 | 22.957 |
85.963 | 103.634 |
34.641 | 65.484 |
20.074 | 19.111 |
7.751 | 12.278 |
2.601 | 3.466 |
47.792 | 35.408 |
8.737 | 19.85 |
27.256 | 14.924 |
5.355 | 1.113 |
57.884 | 148.476 |
5.655 | 10.251 |
11.71 | 9.522 |
9.723 | 1.346 |
2.511 | 4.388 |
1.008 | 1.872 |
5.259 | 7.37 |
7.221 | 5.622 |
8.849 | 1.686 |
32.008 | 95.005 |
0.391 | 4.822 |
2.932 | 14.858 |
10 | 13.592 |
52.747 | 49.905 |
4.299 | 3.257 |
28.31 | 22.168 |
6.516 | 5.009 |
13.781 | 15.777 |
58.961 | 42.714 |
77.439 | 176.85 |
7.021 | 4.09 |
33.808 | 63.369 |
2.898 | 15.706 |
41.91 | 86.158 |
4.989 | 4.69 |
6.63 | 33.377 |
0.942 | 3.705 |
2.258 | 1.513 |
11.327 | 18.47 |
8.966 | 12.202 |
15.177 | 4.357 |
13.714 | 30.436 |
31.231 | 53.003 |
52.612 | 46.607 |
16.235 | 13.003 |
6.884 | 3.776 |
11.698 | 18.223 |
2.827 | 3.471 |
23.075 | 13.602 |
12.606 | 40.011 |
0.826 | 1.385 |
27.536 | 20.13 |
7.273 | 3.404 |
3.323 | 1.207 |
4.267 | 10.951 |
3.79 | 8.344 |
7.597 | 11.614 |
12.912 | 13.501 |
7.067 | 5.106 |
5.02 | 1.985 |
7.739 | 22.8 |
16.795 | 13.689 |
7.643 | 2.08 |
Solution:
We can use the excel regression data analysis tool to find the answers to the given questions. The excel output is given below:
a. Determine the coefficient of determination,r squared, and interpret its meaning.
r squared= 0.663
Interpret the meaning of r squared.
The value of r squared indicates that 66.3% of the variation in box office gross can be explained by the variation in online trailer reviews.
b. Determine the standard error of the estimate.
Syx=19.66 (Round to two decimal places as needed.)
c. How useful do you think this regression model is for predicting opening weekend box office gross?
Answer: D. It is somewhat useful for predicting box office gross because the coefficient of determination is closer to 1 than it is to 0.
d. Can you think of other variables that might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross? Select all that apply.
Answer:
A. The amount spent on advertising might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross, because viewers are probably more likely to watch a movie that has been advertised heavily.
B. The timing of the release of the movie might explain the variation in opening weekend box office gross, because a movie released at the same time as multiple other major movies may get crowded out.