In: Accounting
The volatility of a non-dividend-paying stock whose price is
$45, is 20%. The risk-free rate is 3%
per annum (continuously compounded) for all maturities. Use a
two-step tree to calculate the value
of a derivative that pays off [max(St − 48, 0)]" where is the stock
price in four months?
Solution:-
The Payoff of the derivative max (St-48,0) represents the payoff of a $48strike European call and hence the price of the $48 strike European call option has to be found.
One Period or Step is for 2 Months (t=2/812),
u=exp(s*t^0.5)=exp(0.2*(1/6)^0.5)s - standard deviation,
=1.08508,
d=1/u=0.92159,
The Stock lattice with above u and d (where stock can go up by a factor of u or down by a factor of d) is as shown below
52.98 | ||
48.83 | 45.00 | |
45.00 | 41.47 | 38.22 |
t=0 | t=1 | t=2 |
At t=2, when the option matures, the payoff when the stock price is $52.98=$ 4.98,
The payoff when the stock price is $45 = 0 and payoff when the stock price is $38.22 = 0,
The Risk Neutral Probability p = (exp(rt)-d)/(u-d),
= (exp(0.03*2/12)-0.92159)/(1.08508-0.92159)
=0.5103,
1-p = 0.4897,
Value of the option at each of the nodes of t=1 and t=0 are given by
Value of option at each node = (P*value of Option at upside in next period+ (1-P) * Value of option at downside in next Period)*exp(-0.03-2/12)
The Option lattice calculated using above formula is as shown below
4.98 | ||
2.53 | 0.00 | |
1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
t=0 | t=1 | t=2 |
The value of derivatives is $1.28.
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