In: Finance
1. A zero-coupon British bond promises to pay GBP 100,000 in one year. The current exchange rate is USD 2.00 / GBP and inflation is forecast at 5 percent in the US and 2 percent in the UK. The appropriate discount rate for a bond of this risk would be 10 percent if it paid in USD. What is the appropriate price of the bond today in USD?
2. A US-based manufacturer is considering an international investment opportunity that will produce the following cash flows in EUR. The current spot rate is USD 1.50 / EUR. What is the NPV of this project in USD if inflation in the US is expected to be 5 percent and inflation in Europe is expected to be 10 percent, and the required rate of return is 10 percent in USD?
Year |
CF(EUR) |
0 |
-65,000 |
1 |
100,000 |
2 |
150,000 |
Thank you for your help!
1) | Future rate per the Purchasing Power Parity Theory | |||
= Future spot = Current spot*(1+Inflation rate in US)/(1+Inflation rate in UK) | ||||
= 2*1.05/1.02 = | $ 2.0588 | |||
Amount receivable in $ on realization of the bond in 1 year = 100000*2.0588 = | $ 2,05,880 | |||
Price of the bond today in $ = 205880/1.1 = | $ 1,87,164 | |||
2) | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Cash flow in EUR | $ -65,000 | $ 1,00,000 | $ 1,50,000 | |
Exchange rate [$/EUR] | 1.5000 | 1.4318 | 1.3667 | |
[Future rate per IRPT = 1.5*(1.05/1.10)^n] | ||||
Cash flow in $ | $ -97,500 | $ 1,43,180 | $ 2,05,005 | |
PVIF at 10% [PVIF = 1/1.1^n] | 1.0000 | 0.90909 | 0.82645 | |
PV at 10% | $ -97,500 | $ 1,30,164 | $ 1,69,426 | |
NPV of the project in $ | $ 2,02,089 |