In: Statistics and Probability
An agent for a residential real estate company in a suburb located outside a major city has the business objective of developing more accurate estimates of the monthly rental cost for apartments. Toward the goal, the agent would like to use the size of an apartment, as defined by square footage to predict the monthly rental cost. The agent selects a sample of 8 one-bedroom apartments and the data are shown
Monthly Rent ($) Size (Square Feet)
875
800
1450
1200
850
1050
1500
1250
2000
1800
925
650
1800
1250
1250
1100
a ) Use the least-squares method to determine the regression coefficients b 0 and b 1 and simple linear regression equation and what does it mean?
b) Predict the mean monthly rent for an apartment that has 1,000 square feet.
c) Why would it not be appropriate to use the model to predict the monthly rent for apartments that have 500 square feet?
d) Two people are considering signing a lease for an apartment in this neighborhood. They are trying to decide between two apartments, one with 1,000 square feet for a monthly rent of $1,275 and the other with 1,200 square feet for a monthly rent of $1,425. Based on (a) through (d), which apartment is a better deal?
.
X | Y | XY | X² | Y² |
800 | 875 | 700000 | 640000 | 765625 |
1200 | 1450 | 1740000 | 1440000 | 2102500 |
1050 | 850 | 892500 | 1102500 | 722500 |
1250 | 1500 | 1875000 | 1562500 | 2250000 |
1800 | 2000 | 3600000 | 3240000 | 4000000 |
650 | 925 | 601250 | 422500 | 855625 |
1250 | 1800 | 2250000 | 1562500 | 3240000 |
1100 | 1250 | 1375000 | 1210000 | 1562500 |
Ʃx = | Ʃy = | Ʃxy = | Ʃx² = | Ʃy² = |
9100 | 10650 | 13033750 | 11180000 | 15498750 |
a)
Slope, b = SSxy/SSxx = 919375/828750 = 1.1093514
y-intercept, a = y̅ -b* x̅ = 1331.25 - (1.10935)*1137.5 = 69.362745
Regression equation :
ŷ = 69.3627 + (1.1094) x
b)
Predicted value of y at x = 1000
ŷ = 69.3627 + (1.1094) * 1000 = 1178.7142
c)
As the value 500 square feet is outside the range of value of apartment size, so it not be appropriate to use the model to predict the monthly rent.
d)
Residual for apartment size 1000 = y - ŷ = 1275 - 1178.7142 = 96.2858
Predicted value of y at x = 1200
ŷ = 69.3627 + (1.1094) * 1200 = 1400.5845
Residual = y - ŷ = 1425 - 1400.5845 = 24.4155
The apparent with size 1200 square feet is better deal.