In: Finance
Verispace Software sells inventory management software and reported revenues
of $25 million in the most recent financial year. You estimate that the total mar-
ket for inventory management software to be $25 billion, growing at 5% a year
for the foreseeable future. If you expect Verispace to have 10% market share of
this market in 10 years, estimate the compounded revenue growth rate over that
period.
Current Total market revenue for inventory management software = $25 billion = $25 x 1000 million = $25000 million
Growth rate of total market revenue for inventory management software = 5%
Total market revenue after 10 years for inventory management software = Current Total market revenue for inventory management software x (1 + Growth rate of total market revenue for inventory management software)10 = 25000 x (1 + 5%)10 = 25000 x (1.05)10 = 25000 x 1.628894626 = $40722.3656 million
Revenue of Verispace after 10 years = market share of Verispace after 10 years x Total market revenue after 10 years for inventory management software = 10% x 40722.3656 = $4072.23656 million
Current revenue of Verisapce = $25 million
Compounded growth rate over 10 year period of Verispace's revenues = (Revenue of Verispace after 10 years / Current revenue of Verisapce)1/10 - 1 = (4072.23656 / 25)1/10 - 1 = = (162.889462)1/10 - 1 = 1.6641378 - 1 = 0.6641378 = 66.417378% = 66.42% (rounded to two decimal places)
Hence compounded growth rate of revenues of Verispace over 10 years = 66.42%