In: Finance
The most recent year-end financial data for company “A” is as follows:
Revenues=$112 million; Depreciation=$7 million
Operating income (EBIT) =$28 million
Earnings after taxes=$12 million Total assets=$172 million
Interest bearing debt=$54 million Common equity=$40 million
Shares outstanding=5.6 million Current price of the stock=$16.25
The company “B” is considering acquiring A. The investment bankers believe that the acquisition is a good one even if B were to pay a premium of 40%. Presently A’s cash flow is as follows:
EBIT (operating profit) after taxes $17
Depreciation … 7
Total … $24
Less: capital expenditures 8
Incremental working capital 3
Free cash flow … $13
The company believes that with synergy it can grow the operating income by 20% per year for the next 3 years and then 12% per year for the next 3 years. At the same time, it plans to hold capital expenditures and working capital additions to a combined increase of only $2 million per year. At the end of 6 years, B is advised by investment bankers the cash flow will probably grow at 5% per year. The cost of capital computed by the IBs is 15%.
Certain comparable data of some recent M & A is as follows:
Equity value to book value 2.9x
Enterprise value to sales 1.4x
Equity value to earnings 15.3x
Enterprise value to EBITDA 7.8x
As B’ CFO, would you go ahead with the acquisition?
1) Calculation of Implied Market Capitalisation of Equity;
Offering Share Price = $ 16.25 + ($ 16.25 * 40%) = $ 22.75 per share
Total Shares Outstanding = 5.6 million
Implied Market Capitalisation = $ 22.75 * 5.6 =$127.4 million
2) Calculation of Enterprise Value
Enterprise value = Value of Equity + Value of Debt
Equity Value = $127.4 Million
Debt Value = $ 54 Million
Enterprise Value = $181.4 Million
3) Calculation of EBITDA
= Operating Income + Depreciation ($28 + $ 7) = $ 35 Million
Now calculate the specified ratios for company A to compare the financial position with comparable data;
Ratio |
Company A |
Comparables |
|
Equity Value to Book Value |
Equity Value = $127.40 Book Value = $40 |
= 127.4 / 40 = 3.18 |
2.9 |
Enterprise Value to Sales |
Enterprise value = $181.40 Sales = $112 |
= 181.40 / 112 = 1.62 |
1.4 |
Equity Value to Earnings |
Equity Value = $127.40 Earnings = $12 |
= 127.40 / 12 = 10.62 |
15.3 |
Enterprise Value to EBITDA |
Enterprise Value = $181.40 EBITDA = $35 |
= 181.40 / 35 = 5.18 |
7.8 |
4) Calculation of PV of A’s expected free cash flows:
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
|
EBITDA |
24 |
28.8 |
34.56 |
41.47 |
46.45 |
52.02 |
58.26 |
Less: Capital Exp. & Incremental W. C. |
11 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
21 |
23 |
Free Cash Flows |
13 |
15.8 |
19.56 |
24.47 |
27.45 |
31.02 |
35.26 |
As the cash flow woo grow at constant rate of 5%, therefore terminal value of free cash flows for 6th year would be;
= FCF 6 * (1 + g) / ( k – g) (here; g is growth rate and k is cost of capital)
= 35.26 * ( 1 + 0.05)/ ( 0.15 – 0.05) = 370.23
Year |
FCF |
Discount Factor @ 15% |
Present Value |
1 |
15.8 |
0.86957 |
13.74 |
2 |
19.56 |
0.75614 |
14.79 |
3 |
24.47 |
0.65752 |
16.09 |
4 |
27.45 |
0.57175 |
15.69 |
5 |
31.02 |
0.49718 |
15.42 |
6 |
370.23 |
0.43233 |
160.06 |
235.79 |
Conclusion: As the Discounted Cash Flow value of the enterprise ($235.79 million) is more than the value of enterprise ($181.4 million), therefore the acquisition of 'A' offers good value to company B. Further, the P/E ratio (Equity value to earnings 10.6) and Enterprise Value to EBIT (5.2) is far better than the comparable companies' data. Ignoring the equity value-to-book and the enterprise value-to-sales ratios, that are slightly higher than the comparable companies' data, it would be valuable decision to acquire the company B at a share price $ 22.75.