In: Statistics and Probability
In a science fair project, Emily conducted an experiment in which she tested professional touch therapists to see if they could sense her energy field. She flipped a coin to select either her right hand or her left hand, and then she asked the therapists to identify the selected hand by placing their hand just under Emily's hand without seeing it and without touching it. Among 323 trials, the touch therapists were correct 153 times. Complete parts (a) through (d).
a. Given that Emily used a coin toss to select either her right hand or her left hand, what proportion of correct responses would be expected if the touch therapists made random guesses? (Type an integer or a decimal. Do not round.)
b. Using Emily's sample results, what is the best point estimate of the therapists' success rate? (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
c. Using Emily's sample results, construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of correct responses made by touch therapists. ___< p <___ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
d. What do the results suggest about the ability of touch therapists to select the correct hand by sensing energy fields?
Solution:
a. Given that Emily used a coin toss to select either her right hand or her left hand, what proportion of correct responses would be expected if the touch therapists made random guesses? (Type an integer or a decimal. Do not round.)
Answer: ½ or 0.5
If the touch therapists made random guesses, then they would have only two choices for selection either right or left hand. So, proportion of correct responses would be expected as ½ or 0.5.
b. Using Emily's sample results, what is the best point estimate of the therapists' success rate? (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
We are given
Number of successes = X = 153
Number of trials = n = 323
Point estimate of the therapists’ success rate = X/n = 153/323 = 0.473684
Required point estimate = 0.474
c. Using Emily's sample results, construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of correct responses made by touch therapists. ___< p <___ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Confidence interval for Population Proportion
Confidence Interval = P ± Z* sqrt(P*(1 – P)/n)
Where, P is the sample proportion, Z is critical value, and n is sample size.
We have
x = 153
n = 323
P = x/n = 153/323 = 0.473684211
Confidence level = 90%
Critical Z value = 1.6449
(by using z-table)
Confidence Interval = P ± Z* sqrt(P*(1 – P)/n)
Confidence Interval = 0.473684211 ± 1.6449* sqrt(0.473684211*(1 – 0.473684211)/323)
Confidence Interval = 0.473684211 ± 1.6449*0.0278
Confidence Interval = 0.473684211 ± 0.0457
Lower limit = 0.473684211 - 0.0457 = 0.4280
Upper limit = 0.473684211 + 0.0457 = 0.5194
Confidence interval = (0.428, 0.519)
0.428 < p < 0.519
d. What do the results suggest about the ability of touch therapists to select the correct hand by sensing energy fields?
We are 90% confident that the ability of touch therapists to select the correct hand by sensing energy fields will be lies between 42.8% and 51.9%.