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Management of Group A Corporation is considering an expansion in the company’s product line that requires...

Management of Group A Corporation is considering an expansion in the company’s product line that requires the purchase of an additional $200,000 in equipment with installation cost of $20,000 and removal expense of $5,000. The equipment and installation costs will be depreciated over five years using straight-line depreciation method. The expansion is expected to increase earnings before depreciation and taxes as follows:

Expected Worst Best

Year 1 $75,000 $50,000 $100,000

Year 2 $ 75,000 $60,000 $100,000

Year 3 $90,000 $75,000 $120,000

Year 4 $90,000 $75,000   $120,000

Year 5 $60,000 $45,000 $ 75,000

Group A Corporation’s income tax rate is 30 percent, and the weighted average cost of capital is 10 percent. Because of uncertainty in the market, the company’s financial analyst predicts that the likelihood that the worst-case scenario happening is 20%; and the likelihood of the best-case scenario occurring is 30%. Based upon the net present value method of capital budgeting should management undertake this project?


Solutions

Expert Solution

NPV = Present value of future inflows - initial outflow

Calculation of future inflows:-

Expected increase in EBDT :-

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Scenerios Probabiltiy EBDT P * EBDT EBDT P * EBDT EBDT P * EBDT EBDT P * EBDT EBDT P * EBDT
Expected 50% 75000 37500 75000 37500 90000 45000 90000 45000 60000 30000
Worst 20% 50000 10000 60000 12000 75000 15000 75000 15000 45000 9000
Best 30% 100000 30000 100000 30000 120000 36000 120000 36000 75000 22500
Expected EBDT 77500 79500 96000 96000 61500

Depreciation at straight line basis = (200000+20000)/5 = $44000 each year

Calculation of PV Net cash inflows after tax

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
EBDT 77500 79500 96000 96000 61500
Less- Dep 44000 44000 44000 44000 44000
33500 35500 52000 52000 17500
Less- Tax @ 30% 10050 10650 15600 15600 5250
Earnings after tax 23450 24850 36400 36400 12250
Add- Dep 44000 44000 44000 44000 44000
Net operating cash inflows 67450 68850 80400 80400 56250
Less - Removal charges 0 0 0 0 5000
Net cash inflow 67450 68850 80400 80400 51250
PV factor 0.909091 0.826446 0.751315 0.683013 0.620921
PV of cash flow 61318.18 56900.83 60405.71 54914.28 31822.22

PV of Total cash inflows in 5 years = $265,361.22

Less- Initial cash outflow    = $ 220,000.00

NPV = $ 45,361.22

Management should undertake this project considering positive NPV


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