In: Finance
Nonconstant Growth Valuation
A company currently pays a dividend of $1.5 per share (D0 = $1.5). It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 19% per year for the next 2 years, and then at a constant rate of 5% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.95, the risk-free rate is 7.5%, and the market risk premium is 3%. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
As per CAPM |
expected return = risk-free rate + beta * (Market risk premium) |
Expected return% = 7.5 + 1.95 * (3) |
Expected return% = 13.35 |
Required rate= | 13.35% | ||||||
Year | Previous year dividend | Dividend growth rate | Dividend current year | Horizon value | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value |
1 | 1.5 | 19.00% | 1.785 | 1.785 | 1.1335 | 1.5748 | |
2 | 1.785 | 19.00% | 2.12415 | 26.711 | 28.83515 | 1.28482225 | 22.44291 |
Long term growth rate (given)= | 5.00% | Value of Stock = | Sum of discounted value = | 24.02 |
Where | ||||
Current dividend =Previous year dividend*(1+growth rate)^corresponding year | ||||
Total value = Dividend + horizon value (only for last year) | ||||
Horizon value = Dividend Current year 2 *(1+long term growth rate)/( Required rate-long term growth rate) | ||||
Discount factor=(1+ Required rate)^corresponding period | ||||
Discounted value=total value/discount factor |