In: Finance
Problem 7-05
Nonconstant Growth Valuation
A company currently pays a dividend of $3.5 per share (D0 = $3.5). It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 19% per year for the next 2 years, and then at a constant rate of 5% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.2, the risk-free rate is 5%, and the market risk premium is 4%. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
Use the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to find the required | ||||||
return of the stock. | ||||||
Under the Capital Asset pricing model | ||||||
Rs = Rf + Beta*(Rm-Rf) | ||||||
Rs is the required return on the stock | ||||||
Beta | 1.2 | |||||
Rf is the risk-free rate that is 5%. | ||||||
(Rm - Rf) | 4% | |||||
where Rm is the expected return on the market. | ||||||
Rs = .05 + 1.2*(.04) | ||||||
Rs = .05 + .048 | ||||||
Rs = .098 | ||||||
The required return on the stock is 9.8%. |
D0 | 3.5 | ||
For the first two years | |||
g1 | 0.19 | ||
D1 | 4.165 | ||
D2 | 4.95635 | ||
After that | |||
g2 | 0.05 | ||
D3 | 5.2041675 | ||
D4 | 5.464375875 | ||
Find the price of the stock in year 3 | |||
According to the dividend growth model. | |||
P3 = D4/(R-g2) | |||
where R is .098 | |||
P3 | 113.8411641 | ||
The value of the stock today = sum of present value of future cash flows. | |||
Cash flow in year 3 (P3+D3) | 119.0453316 | ||
Using R = .098 | |||
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Cash flow | 4.165 | 4.95635 | 119.0453 |
Present value | 3.79 | 4.11 | 89.93 |
sum of present values | 97.83 | ||
The current price of the stock is $97.8 |