In: Math
The quality-control manager at a compact fluorescent light bulb (CFL) factory needs to determine whether the mean life of a large shipment of CFLs is equal to 7,487 hours. The population standard deviation is 1,080 hours. A random sample of 81 light bulbs indicates a sample mean life of 7,187 hours. a. At the 0.05 level of significance, is there evidence that the mean life is different from 7,487 hours? b. Compute the p-value and interpret its meaning. c. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean life of the light bulbs. d. Compare the results of (a) and (c). What conclusions do you reach?
a)
One sample z test:
Claim : The mean life is different from 7487 hours
H0 : µ = 7487 vs Ha : µ ≠ 7487
Given : = 7187, σ = 1080 , n = 81
Population standard deviation σ is known therefore we use z statistic.
Test statistic:
Z = =
Z = -2.50
Critical value : α = 0.05
As Ha contain ≠ sign , this is two tail test,
Therefore Z(α/2 ) = 1.96
Critical region: Reject H0, if |Z | ≥ 1.96 Or fail to reject H0 , if | Z | < 1.96
Decision: z = -2.50 , | z | = 2.50
As | Z | is greater than 1.96 , we reject H0
Conclusion: There is significant evidence that the mean life is different from 7487 hours
b) P-value = 2*P( z ≤ -2.50 ) = 2*0.0062 = 0.0124
The probability that sample mean fall outside the 2.5 standard deviation of the population mean is 0.0124
c)
Given confidence level = 0.95
α = 1- 0.95 = 0.05 , α/2 = 0.025 , So zα/2 = 1.96
Confidence interval =
=
= ( 6951.8 , 7422.2 )
Population mean 7484 do not fall in the 95% confidence interval.
d) As population mean 7484 do not fall in the 95% confidence interval, we conclude the same conclusion that the mean life is different from 7487 hours.
So both test and confidence interval gives the same result.