In: Math
In a sample of 100 pigs from a large population the following gains in weight (kg) during a 50 day interval were recorded: | |||||||||
36 | 23 | 25 | 21 | 28 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 39 | 30 |
7 | 31 | 24 | 26 | 47 | 30 | 30 | 19 | 39 | 22 |
29 | 36 | 43 | 21 | 34 | 57 | 33 | 36 | 26 | 44 |
41 | 19 | 23 | 41 | 11 | 41 | 45 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
13 | 35 | 18 | 26 | 42 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 26 | 31 |
37 | 34 | 22 | 40 | 37 | 18 | 40 | 14 | 43 | 28 |
30 | 42 | 49 | 27 | 15 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 16 |
48 | 27 | 28 | 20 | 30 | 46 | 19 | 53 | 29 | 24 |
17 | 21 | 25 | 35 | 42 | 31 | 34 | 38 | 20 | 38 |
30 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 33 | 32 | 27 | 25 | 30 | 30 |
b. What's the prob of randomly selecting a pig that added at least 44kg to its weight during the test? How does this predicted number (predicted proportion/percent) compare with the actual number? *Hint: remember there are 100 total samples*
c. What's the probability that a pig would increase no less than 10kg and no more than 47kg?
d. Construct a 99% confidence interval for this data.
Sample size, n =100
Sample mean, = =30.26
Sample standard deviation, s = =9.687
b.
Assuming normal distribution,
Z =(X - )/s =(44 - 30.26)/9.687 =1.4184
The probability of at least 44kg =P(X 44) =P(Z 1.4184) =0.078 =7.8%
Actual probability of at least 44 kg =8/100 =0.08 =8%
Thus, the predicted percent and the actual percent are very close to each other (almost same).
c.
At X =10, Z =(10 - 30.26)/9.687 = -2.0915
At X =47, Z =(47 - 30.26)/9.687 =1.7281
The probability that a pig would increase no less than 10kg and no more than 47kg =P(10 X 47) =P(-2.0915 Z 1.7281) =0.9398
d.
At a 99% confidence level, for a two-tailed case, the critical value of Z is: Z* =2.58
Standard Error, SE =s/ =9.687/ =9.687/10 =0.9687
Margin of Error, MoE =Z*(SE) =2.58(0.9687) =2.50
99% confidence interval for the population mean increase in weight, for the given data is: =MoE =30.26 2.50 =(30.26 - 2.50, 30.26 + 2.50) =[27.76kg, 32.76kg].