In: Statistics and Probability
“A sample of 60 individuals in the Midwest showed the sample average per person annual expenditure for prescription drugs of $745. Suppose the population standard deviation expenditure for prescription drugs is $300.”
a. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the population mean annual expenditure for prescription drugs in the Midwest.
b. Is $838 in the interval from part a? What would this imply about the population mean being $838?
c. what would happen to the width of the confidence interval estimate if the confidence level changed to 99%? Explain.
d. Determine the minimum sample size to ensure that a 99% confidence interval has a margin of error of $50. Assume the population standard deviation is $300.
The formula for confidence interval of population mean is
where
= sample mean
= population standard deviation
n = sample size
= critical z-value
The "Z" values for Confidence Interval are given below:
Confidence |
Z |
80% |
1.282 |
85% |
1.440 |
90% |
1.645 |
95% |
1.960 |
99% |
2.576 |
99.5% |
2.807 |
99.9% |
3.291 |
Given
n = 60
From the table, the Z-value for 95% confidence level is 1.96
The 95% confidence interval estimate for the population mean is
( 669.09 , 820.91)
Therefore, the 95% confidence interval estimate for the population mean annual expenditure for prescription drugs in the Midwest is $669.09< < $820.91
b)
The given $838 is outside the interval $669.09< < $820.91 .
95% of the time, when we calculate a confidence interval in this way, the true mean will be between the two values. 5% of the time, it will not.
c)
Using confidence level = 99%
From the table, the Z-value for 99% confidence level is 2.576
The 99% confidence interval estimate for the population mean is
( 645.23 , 844.77)
Therefore, the 99% confidence interval estimate for the population mean annual expenditure for prescription drugs in the Midwest is $645.23< < $844.77.
So, the width of the confidence interval estimate would increase if the confidence level changed to 99%.
d)
Given
Confidence level = 99%
Margin of error = $50.
Population standard deviation ()= $300
From the table, the Z-value for 99% confidence level is 2.576
Now
Margin of error = critical value * standard error
The minimum sample size to ensure that a 99% confidence interval has a margin of error of $50 is 239.