In: Finance
What factprs affect the stock market? Will the market rise or drop in the next three months?
The stock market depends on the prices of individual stocks. | ||||||||
The following factors affect the price of any given stock and the market: | ||||||||
a) company performance | ||||||||
When a company has good earnings the stock price usually goes up. | ||||||||
On the other hand, when the company has bad earnings the stock price usually | ||||||||
goes down. | ||||||||
b) valuation | ||||||||
The P/E multiple (price per share/earnings per share) compared to peer | ||||||||
stocks in the industry can also determine the stock price. An undervalued | ||||||||
stock has a low P/E multiple relative to its peers. An overvalued stock | ||||||||
has a high P/E multiple relative to its peers. | ||||||||
c) the economy | ||||||||
A good economy usually means that stock price will trend upward. | ||||||||
A recession usually leads to a decline in stock prices. | ||||||||
d) interest rates and inflation | ||||||||
When the federal reserve changes interest rates to either boost the economy | ||||||||
or to control inflation, the market reacts either positively or | ||||||||
negatively to the news. | ||||||||
e) market sentiment | ||||||||
The market moves up and down based on the sentiment of investors. | ||||||||
Stock prices move up and down based on the supply and demand for stocks. | ||||||||
f) fundamental factors. | ||||||||
The stock price of an oil company for example moves up and down based | ||||||||
on the price of oil. Each industry and company has fundamental factors that | ||||||||
are unique to that company or industry. | ||||||||
The fundamental factors result in moving the stock prices up and down. | ||||||||
The market in the next three months will depend on the trade war between | ||||||||
America and China. In addition, the market will depend on whether the Federal reserve | ||||||||
raises or lowers interest rates. The market will also depend on the performance of the U.S | ||||||||
economy. The overall sentiment among investors is positive, so the market will most | ||||||||
probably rise. |