In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose that 590 people were surveyed and a 95% confidence
interval for the mean spending amount by U.S. citizens on summer
vacations was calculated to be ($1980, $2040).
a. If a 99% confidence interval was calculated instead, would it be
wider or narrower? __________________
b. If 1,000 people were sampled instead of 590, would the interval
be wider or narrower? ___________________
c. BONUS: what is the margin of error for this confidence interval?
______________
Solution :
n = 1000
x = 590
= x / n = 590 / 1000 = 0.590
1 - = 1 - 0.590 = 0.410
a ) At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 * (((0.590 * 0.410) / 1000)
= 0.030
A 90 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.590 - 0.030< p < 0.590 + 0.030
0.560 < p < 0.2620
b ) At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 * (((0.590 * 0.410) / 1000)
= 0.040
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.590 - 0.040 < p < 0.590 + 0.040
0.550 < p <
0.630
c ) 99% confidence interval is wider Confidence level
increased the margin of error is increased