In: Statistics and Probability
Three fair coins are flipped independently. Let X be the number of heads among the three coins.
(1) Write down all possible values that X can take.
(2) Construct the probability mass function of X.
(3) What is the probability that we observe two or more heads. (i.e., P(X ≥ 2))
(4) Compute E[X] and Var(X).
Solution-:
(1) Three fair coins are flipped independently. Let X be the number of heads among the three coins.
The 8 possible elementary events, and the corresponding values for X, are:
Elementary Event | Value of X |
HHH | 3 |
HHT | 2 |
HTH | 2 |
THH | 2 |
HTT | 1 |
THT | 1 |
TTH | 1 |
TTT | 0 |
(2) Therefore, the probability distribution for the number of heads occurring in three coin tosses is:
X |
P(x) |
0 | 1/8=0.125 |
1 | 3/8=0.375 |
2 | 3/8=0.375 |
3 | 1/8=0.125 |
Total | 1 |
(3) we find, P[ the probability that we observe two or more heads]
Therefoe, the required probability is 0.50
(4)
X | P(x) | X*P(x) | X^2*P(x) |
0 | 0.125 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0.375 | 0.375 | 0.375 |
2 | 0.375 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
3 | 0.125 | 0.375 | 1.125 |
Total | 1 | 1.50 | 3.0 |
Mean=
and
Variance=