In: Finance
A bond is scheduled to mature in five years. Its coupon rate is
9 percent with interest paid annually. This $1,000 par value bond
carries a yield to maturity of 10 percent.
Calculate the percentage change in this bond's price if interest
rates on comparable risk securities increase to 11 percent. Use the
duration valuation equation.
+4.25 percent
-4.25 percent
+8.58 percent
-3.93 percent
-3.84 percent
K = N |
Bond Price =∑ [( Coupon)/(1 + YTM)^k] + Par value/(1 + YTM)^N |
k=1 |
K =5 |
Bond Price =∑ [(9*1000/100)/(1 + 10/100)^k] + 1000/(1 + 10/100)^5 |
k=1 |
Bond Price = 962.09 |
Period | Cash Flow | Discounting factor | PV Cash Flow | Duration Calc |
0 | ($962.09) | =(1+YTM/number of coupon payments in the year)^period | =cashflow/discounting factor | =PV cashflow*period |
1 | 90.00 | 1.10 | 81.82 | 81.82 |
2 | 90.00 | 1.21 | 74.38 | 148.76 |
3 | 90.00 | 1.33 | 67.62 | 202.85 |
4 | 90.00 | 1.46 | 61.47 | 245.88 |
5 | 1,090.00 | 1.61 | 676.80 | 3,384.02 |
Total | 4,063.34 |
Macaulay duration =(∑ Duration calc)/(bond price*number of coupon per year) |
=4063.34/(962.09*1) |
=4.223451 |
Modified duration = Macaulay duration/(1+YTM) |
=4.22/(1+0.1) |
=3.839501 |
Using only modified duration |
Mod.duration prediction = -Mod. Duration*Yield_Change*Bond_Price |
=-3.84*0.01*962.09 |
=-36.94 |
%age change in bond price=Mod.duration prediction/bond price |
=-36.94/962.09 |
=-3.84% |