In: Statistics and Probability
Due to the popularity of instant messaging and social networking, informal elements such as emoticons (e.g., the symbol ":)" to represent a smile) and abbreviations (e.g., "LOL" for "laughing out loud") have worked their way into teenagers' school writing assignments. A survey interviewed 900 randomly selected teenagers by telephone on their writing habits. Overall, 422 of the teenagers admitted using at least one informal element in school writing assignments. Based on the survey results, construct a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of all teenagers who have used at least one informal element in school writing assignments. Give a practical interpretation of the interval.
The 99% confidence interval is ( _____, _______ ). (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Solution :
Given that,
n = 900
x = 422
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 422 / 900 = 0.469
1 - = 1 - 0.469 = 0.531
At 99% confidence level
= 1 - 99%
=1 - 0.99 =0.01
/2
= 0.005
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 (((0.469 * 0.531) / 900)
= 0.043
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
± E
= 0.469 ± 0.043
= ( 0.426, 0.512 )
We are 99% confident that the true proportion of all teenagers who have used at least one informal element in school writing assignments between 0.426 and 0.512.