In: Statistics and Probability
According to a social media blog, time spent on a certain social networking website has a mean of 16 minutes per visit. Assume that time spent on the social networking site per visit is normally distributed and that the standard deviation is 5 minutes. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
a. If you select a random sample 36 sessions, what is the probability that the sample mean is between 15.5 and 16.5 minutes? = 0.452
b. If you select a random sample of 36 sessions, what is the probability that the sample mean is between 15 and 16 minutes?= 0.385
c. If you select a random sample of 144 sessions, what is the probability that the sample mean is between 15.5 and 16.5 minutes?= 0.769
d. Explain the difference in the results of (a) and (c).
The sample size in (c) is greater than the sample size in (a), so the standard error of the mean (or the standard deviation of the sampling distribution) in (c) is (greater/less)-(which one) than in (a). As the standard error (decreases/increases)- (which one) values become more concentrated around the mean. Therefore, the probability that the sample mean will fall in a region that includes the population mean will always (decrease/increase)- (which one) when the sample size increases.
Solution:
We are given that the random variable time spent on the social networking site per visit is normally distributed.
Mean = µ = 16
SD = σ = 5
a. If you select a random sample 36 sessions, what is the probability that the sample mean is between 15.5 and 16.5 minutes?
We are given n = 36, µ = 16, σ = 5
We have to find P(15.5<Xbar<16.5)
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = P(Xbar<16.5) – P(Xbar<15.5)
First find P(Xbar<16.5)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (16.5 – 16)/[5/sqrt(36)]
Z = 0.5/(5/6)
Z = 0.5/ 0.833333
Z = 0.6
P(Z< 0.6) = P(Xbar<16.5) = 0.725747
(by using z-table)
Now, find P(Xbar<15.5)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (15.5 – 16)/[5/sqrt(36)]
Z = -0.5/(5/6)
Z = -0.5/ 0.833333
Z = -0.6
P(Z<-0.6) = P(Xbar<15.5) = 0.274253
(by using z-table)
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = P(Xbar<16.5) – P(Xbar<15.5)
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = 0.725747 – 0.274253
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = 0.451494
Required probability = 0.451
b. If you select a random sample of 36 sessions, what is the probability that the sample mean is between 15 and 16 minutes?
We are given n = 36, µ = 16, σ = 5
We have to find P(15<Xbar<16)
P(15<Xbar<16) = P(Xbar<16) – P(Xbar<15)
First find P(Xbar<16)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (16 – 16)/[5/sqrt(36)]
Z = 0/(5/6)
Z = 0
P(Z< 0) = P(Xbar<16) = 0.5000
(by using z-table)
Now, find P(Xbar<15)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (15 – 16)/[5/sqrt(36)]
Z = -1/(5/6)
Z = -1/ 0.833333
Z = -1.2
P(Z<-1.2) = P(Xbar<15) = 0.11507
(by using z-table)
P(15<Xbar<16) = P(Xbar<16) – P(Xbar<15)
P(15<Xbar<16) = 0.5000 – 0.11507
P(15<Xbar<16) = 0.38493
Required probability = 0.385
c. If you select a random sample of 144 sessions, what is the probability that the sample mean is between 15.5 and 16.5 minutes?
We are given n = 144, µ = 16, σ = 5
We have to find P(15.5<Xbar<16.5)
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = P(Xbar<16.5) – P(Xbar<15.5)
First find P(Xbar<16.5)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (16.5 – 16)/[5/sqrt(144)]
Z = 0.5/(5/12)
Z = 0.5/ 0.416667
Z = 1.2
P(Z< 1.2) = P(Xbar<16.5) = 0.88493
(by using z-table)
Now, find P(Xbar<15.5)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (15.5 – 16)/[5/sqrt(144)]
Z = -0.5/(5/12)
Z = -0.5/ 0.416667
Z = -1.1999999
P(Z<-1.199999) = P(Xbar<15.5) = 0.11507
(by using z-table)
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = P(Xbar<16.5) – P(Xbar<15.5)
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = 0.88493 – 0.11507
P(15.5<Xbar<16.5) = 0.769861
Required probability = 0.769
d. Explain the difference in the results of (a) and (c).
The sample size in (c) is greater than the sample size in (a), so the standard error of the mean (or the standard deviation of the sampling distribution) in (c) is less than in (a). As the standard error increases, values become more concentrated around the mean. Therefore, the probability that the sample mean will fall in a region that includes the population mean will always increase when the sample size increases.