In: Statistics and Probability
1. A questionnaire about study habits was given to a
random sample of students taking a
large introductory statistics class. Students were asked if they
studied most nights in a week: yes or
no. The results are that the sample proportion of students who
answered “yes” (?̂) was 0.4.
Consider the same scenario as in Problem 1.
a) Calculate a confidence interval for sample size n = 1000, ?̂=
0.4, and the following confidence
levels: 80%, 90%, and 99%. You can use your confidence interval
from Problem 1 with n = 1000
for 95% so you don’t have to recalculate it.
b) Answer the question: As the confidence level increases from 80%
to 99% what happens to the
width of the confidence level?
(b) = 0.4, n = 1000
The Confidence Interval is given by ME, where
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(i) The 80% Confidence Interval
The Zcritical (2 tail) for = 0.2, is 1.281
The Lower Limit = 0.4 - 0.018 = 0.382
The Upper Limit = 0.4 + 0.018 = 0.418
The 80% Confidence Interval is (0.382 , 0.418)
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(ii) The 90% Confidence Interval
The Zcritical (2 tail) for = 0.10, is 1.645
The Lower Limit = 0.4 - 0.023 = 0.377
The Upper Limit = 0.4 + 0.023 = 0.423
The 90% Confidence Interval is (0.77 , 0.423)
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(iii) The 99% Confidence Interval
The Zcritical (2 tail) for = 0.01, is 2.576
The Lower Limit = 0.4 - 0.036 = 0.364
The Upper Limit = 0.4 + 0.036 = 0.436
The 99% Confidence Interval is (0.364 , 0.436)
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(b) The Width of the confidence interval is dependent on the value of the Margin of Error (ME). As ME increases the width increase and vice versa.
ME = Zcritical * Standard error.
We see that the critical value is in the numerator, therefore as the critical value increases, the width will increase.
As the confidence level moves from 80% to 99%, the critical value increases, and therefore the width of the confidence interval also increases.
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