In: Statistics and Probability
In a Gallup Poll of 1100 individuals, 495 thought they were
worse off financially than a year ago. Find the 95% confidence
interval for the true proportion of individuals
who feel they are worse off financially.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1100
x = 495
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 495/1100=0.45
1 - = 1- 0.45 =0.55
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z/2 * ((( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.45*0.55) /1100 )
E = 0.0294
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.45-0.0294 < p <0.45 +0.0294
0.4206< p < 0.4794
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.4206, 0.4794