In: Finance
Virusator is a bio-medical start-up specializing in producing vaccines and treatments to battle dangerous viruses. To finance its activities it recently took a one year loan of two million dollars, at an annual effective rate of 10%. It must repay the loan in September 2021 (a year from now). Earnings this coming year are expected to be $3.3 million. Assume earning are received in September 2021 (i.e, one year from now). To finance growth it plans on reinvesting 90% of the earnings left after repaying the loan. The remainder will be paid as a dividend to shareholders. Virusator’s earnings will grow at a rate of 50% per year, starting from September 2021, for a duration of 3 years. Then it will enter a more mature growth phase and grow at a constant rate of 5% per annum forever after. Virusator will keep the payout policy unchanged for the first 3 years. Afterwards it will payout 70% of earnings as dividends to shareholders. Virusator’s cost of equity capital is 20%.
4.a Value Virusator.
statement showing expected dividends | ||||||
Sept 2021 | Sept 2022 | Sept 2023 | Sept 2024 | Sept 2025 | ||
Expected earnings($Million) | 3.3 | 4.95 | 7.425 | 11.1375 | 11.694375 | (50% growth for 3 years starting from sept 2021 & there after 5% growth) |
Growth in Earnings | 50% | 50% | 50% | 5% | ||
Less-Interest payment($2 million*10%) | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Less-Loan principal payment | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Earnings available | 1.1 | 4.95 | 7.425 | 11.1375 | 11.694375 | |
Pay out ratio | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 70% | [pay out ratio = 100- retention ration] |
Expected dividend [ earnings available* Payout ratio] | 0.11 | 0.495 | 0.7425 | 1.11375 | 8.1860625 |
Ve = value of the equity
d1= next expected dividend
Ke= cost of equity capital
g= growth rate
Hence value of equity at the end sept 2024 = [ dividend of sept 2025/ (20%-5%)]
=> value of equity at the end sept 2024 = 8.1860625/0.15 = $54.57375 Million
value of the virusator today = Present value of the Dividends upto sept 2024+ PV of value of equity at the end sept 2024
sl no | nature | Amount($ million) | PVF@20% | Present value (Amount*PVF) | |
1 | Sept 2021 | Dividend | 0.11 | 0.83333 | 0.09167 |
2 | Sept 2022 | Dividend | 0.495 | 0.69444 | 0.34375 |
3 | Sept 2023 | Dividend | 0.7425 | 0.57870 | 0.42969 |
4 | Sept 2024 | Dividend | 1.11375 | 0.48225 | 0.53711 |
4 | Sept 2024 | value of equity | 54.57375 | 0.48225 | 26.31836 |
Total | 27.72057 |
hence value of Virusator today is $27.72057 million