In: Statistics and Probability
If possible, please explain how to calculate with a Ti-84 Plus calculator.
In the following problem, check that it is appropriate to use
the normal approximation to the binomial. Then use the normal
distribution to estimate the requested probabilities.
Do you try to pad an insurance claim to cover your deductible?
About 44% of all U.S. adults will try to pad their insurance
claims! Suppose that you are the director of an insurance
adjustment office. Your office has just received 122 insurance
claims to be processed in the next few days. Find the following
probabilities. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)
(a) half or more of the claims have been padded
(b) fewer than 45 of the claims have been padded
(c) from 40 to 64 of the claims have been padded
(d) more than 80 of the claims have not been padded
(a)
n = 122
p = 0.44
q = 1 - p = 0.56
= np = 122 X 0.44 = 53.68
To find P(X61):
Applying Continuity Correction:
To find P(X>60.5):
Z= (60.5 - 53.68)/5.4828 = 1.24
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.3925
So
P(X>61) = 0.5 - 0.3925 = 0.1075
So,
Answer is:
0.1075
(b)
n = 122
p = 0.44
q = 1 - p = 0.56
= np = 122 X 0.44 = 53.68
To find P(X<45):
Applying Continuity Correction:
To find P(X<44.5):
Z= (44.5 - 53.68)/5.4828 = - 1.67
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4525
So
P(X<45) = 0.5 - 0.4525 = 0.0475
So,
Answer is:
0.0475
(c)
n = 122
p = 0.44
q = 1 - p = 0.56
= np = 122 X 0.44 = 53.68
To find P(40<X<64):
Applying Continuity Correction:
To find P(39.5<X<64.5):
Case 1: For X from 39.5 to mid value:
Z= (39.5 - 53.68)/5.4828 = - 2.59
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4952
Case 2: For X from mid value to 64.5
Z= (64.5 - 53.68)/5.4828 = 1.97
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4756
So
P(40<X<64) = 0.4952 + 0.4756 = 0.9708
So,
Answer is:
0.9708
(e)
More than 80 not padded is same as less than or equal to 122 - 80 = 42 is padded
n = 122
p = 0.44
q = 1 - p = 0.56
= np = 122 X 0.44 = 53.68
To find P(X42):
Applying Continuity Correction:
To find P(X<42.5):
Z= (42.5 - 53.68)/5.4828 = - 2.04
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4793
So
P(X42) = 0.5 - 0.4793 = 0.0207
So,
Answer is:
0.0207