Question

In: Statistics and Probability

suppose given the three pairwise independent events, all three of which cannot simultaneously occur. Assuming that...

suppose given the three pairwise independent events, all three of which cannot simultaneously occur. Assuming that they all have the same probability x , determine the largest possible value of x.

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Expert Solution

ANSWER:-

Determine the largest possible value of x:-

  • Given 3 occasions a chance to be A, B and C.
  • They can't happen at the same time. Along these lines, they are totally unrelated occasions. Along these lines,
  • P(ABC) =0
  • P(AB) =0
  • P(BC) =0
  • P(AC) =0
  • A, B and C are pairwise free occasions.
  • Hence, P(AB) =P(A)P(B),
  • Similarly for P(BC) and P(AC)
  • The likelihood of every one of the 3 occasions is same and it is 'x'.
  • P(A) =x.
  • P(B)=x.
  • P(C) =x.
  • In this way, 'x' lies somewhere in the range of 0 and 1, comprehensive. That is, 'x' has a place with [0, 1].
  • Let the biggest esteem 'x' can take is 1. Be that as it may, on the off chance that P(A) =1, at that point, P(AB) =P(A)P(B) P(A)=1,P(B)=0 then P(AB)=0 in light of the fact that P(AB) =0 thus, P(B) must be 0.
  • Yet, at that point P(A) P(B). Along these lines, let us take P(A) =1/3. Presently, P(B) must be 0 so that P(AB) =0. Again P(A) P(B). Along these lines, any estimation of 'x' other than 0 prompts logical inconsistency of correspondence of 3 probabilities.
  • Presently, let us take
  • P(A) =x =0
  • P(B) =x =0
  • P(C) =x =0
  • In this way, 3 conditions are fulfilled just when x =0.

1). P(ABC)=P(AB) =0

P(ABC)=P(BC)=0

P(ABC)=P(AC) =0

2) P(AB) =P(A)P(B)

P(A)=0,P(B)=0 then,

P(AB)=0

and comparably,

P(BC) =0

P(AC) =0

3)

P(A) =x =0

P(B) =x =0

P(C)=x =0

In this way, the biggest and just conceivable estimation of 'x' is 0.


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