In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable representing percentage change in neighborhood population in the past few years, and let y be a random variable representing crime rate (crimes per 1000 population). A random sample of six Denver neighborhoods gave the following information.
x | 25 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 6 |
y | 172 | 33 | 132 | 127 | 69 | 53 |
In this setting we have Σx = 70, Σy = 586, Σx2 = 1136, Σy2 = 71,796, and Σxy = 8844.
(a) Find x, y, b, and the equation of the least-squares line. (Round your answers for x and y to two decimal places. Round your least-squares estimates to four decimal places.)
x | = | |
y | = | |
b | = | |
ŷ | = | + x |
(b) Draw a scatter diagram displaying the data. Graph the
least-squares line on your scatter diagram. Be sure to plot the
point (x, y).
(c) Find the sample correlation coefficient r and the
coefficient of determination. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
r = | |
r2 = |
What percentage of variation in y is explained by the
least-squares model? (Round your answer to one decimal
place.)
%
(d) Test the claim that the population correlation coefficient
ρ is not zero at the 10% level of significance. (Round
your test statistic to three decimal places and your
P-value to four decimal places.)
t = | |
P-value = |
Conclusion
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ differs from 0.Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ differs from 0. Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ differs from 0.Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ differs from 0.
(e) For a neighborhood with x = 19% change in population
in the past few years, predict the change in the crime rate (per
1000 residents). (Round your answer to one decimal place.)
crimes per 1000 residents
(f) Find Se. (Round your answer to three
decimal places.)
Se =
(g) Find a 95% confidence interval for the change in crime rate
when the percentage change in population is x = 19%.
(Round your answers to one decimal place.)
lower limit | crimes per 1000 residents |
upper limit | crimes per 1000 residents |
(h) Test the claim that the slope β of the population
least-squares line is not zero at the 10% level of significance.
(Round your test statistic to three decimal places and your
P-value to four decimal places.)
t = | |
P-value = |
Conclusion
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β differs from 0.Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that β differs from 0. Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β differs from 0.Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that β differs from 0.
(i) Find a 95% confidence interval for β and interpret its
meaning. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Interpretation
For every percentage point increase in population, the crime rate per 1,000 increases by an amount that falls within the confidence interval.
For every percentage point increase in population, the crime rate per 1,000 increases by an amount that falls outside the confidence interval.
For every percentage point decrease in population, the crime rate per 1,000 increases by an amount that falls within the confidence interval.
For every percentage point decrease in population, the crime rate per 1,000 increases by an amount that falls outside the confidence interval.
Answer a:
Here, Number of observatios, n = 6
Mean of x, = Σx / n = 70 / 6 = 11.67
Mean of y, = Σy / n = 586/6 = 97.67
Therefore, b = 45.8422 and a = -437.3085
x = 12.5 and y = 99
Now, Equation of the least squares line -
= -437.3085 + 45.8422x
Answer b:
The scatter diagram is given below -
Answer c:
The sample correlation coefficient, r = Cov.(x, y) / S.d.(x)
S.d.(y) = 334.19 / (49.26 x 7.29) = 0.931
Coefficient of Determination, r2 = 0.867
Therefore, 86.7% of variation in y is explained by the least-squares model
Answer d:
The value of the test statistic is 5.106
and P-Value is 0.0069
Therefore, P-Value < 0.10
Conclusion:
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ differs from 0.
(NOTE THAT: Since, nothing is mentioned, the first 4 parts of the question is attempted)