In: Statistics and Probability
Weatherwise is a magazine published by the American
Meteorological Society. One issue gives a rating system used to
classify Nor'easter storms that frequently hit New England and can
cause much damage near the ocean. A severe storm has an average
peak wave height of μ = 16.4 feet for waves hitting the
shore. Suppose that a Nor'easter is in progress at the severe storm
class rating. Peak wave heights are usually measured from land
(using binoculars) off fixed cement piers. Suppose that a reading
of 32 waves showed an average wave height of x = 16.7
feet. Previous studies of severe storms indicate that σ =
3.5 feet. Does this information suggest that the storm is (perhaps
temporarily) increasing above the severe rating? Use α =
0.01.
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ ≠ 16.4 ftH0: μ > 16.4 ft; H1: μ = 16.4 ft H0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ < 16.4 ftH0: μ < 16.4 ft; H1: μ = 16.4 ftH0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ > 16.4 ft
(b) What sampling distribution will you use? Explain the rationale
for your choice of sampling distribution.
The standard normal, since the sample size is large and σ is unknown.The Student's t, since the sample size is large and σ is known. The standard normal, since the sample size is large and σ is known.The Student's t, since the sample size is large and σ is unknown.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer
to two decimal places.)
(c) Estimate the P-value.
P-value > 0.2500.100 < P-value < 0.250 0.050 < P-value < 0.1000.010 < P-value < 0.050P-value < 0.010
Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to
the P-value.
(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or
fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically
significant at level α?
At the α = 0.01 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the α = 0.01 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. At the α = 0.01 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the α = 0.01 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the
application.
There is sufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the storm is increasing above the severe rating.There is insufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the storm is increasing above the severe rating.
The statistical software output for this problem is:
On the basis of above output:
a) Level of significance = 0.01
Hypotheses: H0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ > 16.4 ft
b) Sampling distribution: The standard normal, since the sample size is large and σ is known.
Test statistic = 0.48
c) P-value > 0.250
d) At the α = 0.01 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.
e) There is insufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the storm is increasing above the severe rating.