Question

In: Statistics and Probability

STRAIGHT FROM THE BOOK Roulette In the casino game of roulette there is a wheel with...

STRAIGHT FROM THE BOOK

Roulette
In the casino game of roulette there is a wheel with 19 black slots, 19 red slots, and 2 green slots. In the game, a ball is rolled around a spinning wheel and it lands in one of the slots. It is assumed that each slot has the same probability of getting the ball. This results in the table of probabilities below.

Fair Table Probabilities

  black     red     green  
Probability   19/40 19/40 2/40


You watch the game at a particular table for 130 rounds and count the number of black, red, and green results. Your observations are summarized in the table below.

Outcomes (n = 130)

  black     red     green  
Counts     48     73     9  


The Test: Test the claim that this roulette table is not fair. That is, test the claim that the distribution of colors for all spins of this wheel does not fit the expected distribution from a fair table. Test this claim at the 0.01 significance level.

(a) What is the null hypothesis for this test?

H0: The probabilities are not all equal to 1/3.H0: p1 = 19/40, p2 = 19/40, and p3 = 2/40.    H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = 1/3H0: The probabilities associated with this table do not fit those associated with a fair table.

(b) The table below is used to calculate the test statistic. Complete the missing cells.
Round your answers to the same number of decimal places as other entries for that column.

Observed Assumed   Expected
i Color Frequency (Oi) Probability (pi) Frequency Ei
(OiEi)2
Ei
1 black 0.475 61.75 3.062
2 red 73
3 green 9 0.050 6.50 0.962
Σ n = 130 χ2 =

(c) What is the value for the degrees of freedom?
(d) What is the critical value of χ2? Use the answer found in the χ2-table or round to 3 decimal places.
tα =

(e) What is the conclusion regarding the null hypothesis?

reject H0

fail to reject H0    


(f) Choose the appropriate concluding statement.

We have proven that this table is fair.

The results of this sample suggest the table is not fair.    

There is not enough data to conclude that this table is not fair.

Solutions

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